Should I Buy CPHC? CPHC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Canterbury Park Holding Corp (CPHC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

15.790

1 Day change

1.02%

52 Week Range

22.070

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

CPHC is not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor who wants to put money to work immediately. The stock lacks a clear technical uptrend, has no supportive proprietary buy signals today, and the latest quarter shows meaningful profit deterioration (large YoY declines in net income and EPS). If you already own it, hold for now rather than adding; if you don’t own it, skip buying at this time.

Technical Analysis

Price is sitting near the pivot (15.537) at 15.48, indicating a market in balance rather than in a trend. RSI(6) at 42.14 is neutral-to-slightly weak (not oversold), so there’s no strong rebound signal. MACD histogram is slightly positive (0.0148) but contracting, which suggests fading bullish momentum. Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation/indecision. Key levels: support at 15.07 then 14.78; resistance at 16.01 then 16.30. Pattern-based forward view is modestly positive short term (+0.79% next week) but negative over the next month (-2.38%), which does not support an aggressive long-term entry today.

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

No news-driven catalysts in the last week. Upcoming earnings on 2026-02-05 after hours could act as a catalyst if results rebound. Gross margin improved slightly YoY (72.39%, +0.39% YoY), which is one constructive sign on the cost/mix side.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Latest reported quarter (2025/Q3) shows weakening fundamentals: revenue -5.03% YoY, net income -75.90% YoY, EPS -75.00% YoY. Earnings on 2026-02-05 after hours is a near-term event risk given recent profit compression. No supportive institutional/insider momentum signals: hedge funds and insiders are described as neutral.

Financial Performance

2025/Q3 results weakened materially. Revenue declined to 18,314,701 (-5.03% YoY). Profitability deteriorated sharply: net income fell to 487,283 (-75.90% YoY) and EPS to 0.10 (-75.00% YoY). Gross margin ticked up to 72.39% (+0.39% YoY), but the steep drop in earnings indicates operating leverage/headwinds that outweigh the small margin improvement.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target trend data was provided, so recent Wall Street upgrades/downgrades and target changes cannot be assessed. With the available data, the pro case is limited (slightly improved gross margin, potential earnings catalyst), while the con case is stronger (major YoY earnings decline and no clear technical uptrend or proprietary buy signal).

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CPHC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPHC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 15.630

Low

Averages

High