Should You Buy Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc (CON) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
21.600
1 Day change
0.56%
52 Week Range
23.990
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
BUY for a beginner long-term investor at/near $21.38. Price is sitting just above a key pivot/support area (21.27) with neutral-to-slightly bullish momentum signals, while fundamentals show solid YoY growth and the divestment plan is a potential medium-term catalyst. This looks like a reasonable “buy now” level for someone who doesn’t want to wait for a perfect entry.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: Mildly bullish but not a strong breakout. MACD histogram is positive (0.1) but contracting, which suggests upside momentum exists but is slowing. RSI(6) at ~57.5 is neutral-to-slightly bullish (not overbought). Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation rather than a strong trend.
Key levels: Pivot 21.27 is the near-term line in the sand; price (21.38) is slightly above it, which supports a buy-now decision. Upside resistance levels are R1 22.261 and R2 22.874; a move through R1 would improve the trend picture. Downside support is S1 20.279 then S2 19.666.
Pattern-based short-horizon probabilities (provided): suggests +4.13% over the next week but -4.28% over the next month—i.e., choppy near-term action is likely, but not a clear technical sell setup.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Open interest put/call of 0.47 is call-heavy (generally bullish positioning). Today’s put volume is 0 and call volume is very small (3), so the volume signal is not very informative.
Volatility: 30D IV ~65.98 with IV percentile ~83 implies options are pricing in elevated uncertainty/large moves. That often shows the market expects catalysts/news-flow risk; for long-term buyers it mainly means the stock could swing around your entry.
signals the market expects big moves; short-term drawdowns are plausible.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
- Revenue: 572.8M, +16.98% YoY (strong top-line growth).
- Net income: 47.686M, +7.55% YoY (profit growing, but slower than revenue).
- EPS: 0.37, flat YoY (earnings per share not expanding yet despite higher net income—suggests dilution/other offsets).
- Gross margin: 25.73, +2.14% YoY (positive margin trend).
Overall: growth is positive with improving margins, but EPS stagnation is a key item to monitor.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent changes are mixed but price targets moved up:
- 2026-01-05: Bernstein upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform; raised PT to €66 (from €50), citing an attractive setup into 2026.
- 2025-12-10: Barclays downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight; raised PT to €70 (from €66), citing valuation after a rally.
Wall Street pros view (implied by notes):
Pros: improving setup into 2026, attractive segment exposure (tires) and strategic actions (ContiTech divestment).
Cons: valuation concerns after a rally and weaker profitability in parts of the business (ContiTech) until resolved.
Wall Street analysts forecast CON stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CON is 28.67 USD with a low forecast of 27 USD and a high forecast of 30 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CON stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CON is 28.67 USD with a low forecast of 27 USD and a high forecast of 30 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 21.480
Low
27
Averages
28.67
High
30
Current: 21.480
Low
27
Averages
28.67
High
30
Bernstein
Harry Martin
Underperform -> Market Perform
upgrade
AI Analysis
2026-01-05
Reason
Bernstein
Harry Martin
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-01-05
upgrade
Underperform -> Market Perform
Reason
Bernstein analyst Harry Martin upgraded Continental AG to Market Perform from Underperform with a price target of EUR 66, up from EUR 50. The firm says the tire makers offer investors a "highly attractive" part of the autos value chain with a positive setup into 2026.
Barclays
Overweight -> Equal Weight
downgrade
2025-12-10
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
2025-12-10
downgrade
Overweight -> Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays downgraded Continental AG to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of EUR 70, up from EUR 66. The firm cites valuation for the downgrade following the stock's recent rally.
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