Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. CMTG has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
CMTG stock price ended at $2.39 on Monday, after losing-6.64%
The Claros Mortgage Trust Inc stock price decreased by -6.64% on the last trading day (19 May 2025), dropping from 2.48 to 2.39. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 5.93% , ranging from a day low of $2.36 to a day high of 2.5. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -8.08% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 15.86K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 598.18K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.44M.
CMTG Technical Signals
CMTG(Claros Mortgage Trust Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-05-13. The total price change during this trend is -1.16%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of CMTG over the last 5 trading days is 1.90M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
CMTG Moving Average Analysis
Claros Mortgage Trust Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, May 20, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $2.873026666666666, and $3.0716666666666663. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $2.2303066666666664, and $2.0316666666666663. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
CMTG Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Claros Mortgage Trust Inc(CMTG) as of 12 May 2025 is 14.33%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 2.43 to 2.59. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.114
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.13
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.0847
Bearish
CMTG Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Claros Mortgage Trust Inc(CMTG), our algorithm predicts CMTG's 1-month price at $3.13, with an 28.8%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.08%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Claros Mortgage Trust Inc (CMTG.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a 28.8% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AREB.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.08%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
CMTG
No Data
AREB
Up: 28.8%Similarity: 98.08%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
AREB.O
98.08%
+28.80%
ENVB.O
97.84%
+7.80%
SKM.N
97.81%
-9.36%
TSBK.O
97.68%
-1.26%
XMTR.O
97.63%
-2.82%
CGTX.O
97.61%
+1.45%
ITP.A
97.57%
-45.88%
KEYS.N
97.55%
-2.92%
BXC.N
97.46%
-8.74%
SATS.O
97.41%
-21.98%
CMTG Seasonality Analysis
Based on CMTG's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in CMTG. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Claros Mortgage Trust Inc (CMTG.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while February has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Claros Mortgage Trust Inc (CMTG.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. CMTG has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Claros Mortgage Trust Inc (CMTG.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Claros Mortgage Trust Inc (CMTG.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while February has the lowest probability (0.00%).
How has Claros Mortgage Trust Inc. (CMTG)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
CMTG's stock price rose by 1.44% in 2023,decreased by -64.72% in 2024, and went down by 44.93% in 2025.
Is CMTG a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
CMTG has 3 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for CMTG is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of CMTG.
What is the trend of Claros Mortgage Trust Inc (CMTG)'s moving average?
Claros Mortgage Trust Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of May 20 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal.
What is price prediction for CMTG stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Claros Mortgage Trust Inc (CMTG.N) stock, as of May 11 2025, forecasts a 28.8% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AREB stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.08%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for CMTG Stock?
The price target for Claros Mortgage Trust (CMTG) stock in 2025 is predicted to reach **$3.25**, supported by positive insider buying activity and potential sector stabilization. UBS analysts have lowered the price target to $3.50 due to macro uncertainty, while recent insider purchases by the CEO and a director signal confidence.
What is price prediction 2030 for CMTG Stock?
### **Price Prediction for CMTG Stock by 2030**
Based on the analysis of current trends, financial health, and market sentiment, here is a concise price prediction for CMTG stock by 2030:
1. **Bullish Scenario**:
- **Price Target**: $5.50
- **Reason**: If CMTG successfully addresses its debt challenges and improves profitability, the stock could see a recovery, driven by stronger financial performance and positive market sentiment.
2. **Bearish Scenario**:
- **Price Target**: $3.50
- **Reason**: Given the significant debt and ongoing financial struggles, if CMTG fails to turn around its operations, the stock may remain under pressure, with limited upside potential.
### **Key Factors Influencing the Prediction**
- **Insider Confidence**: Recent insider purchases, including by the CEO and a director, signal some optimism about the company's future.
- **Debt Challenges**: The $4.9 billion debt and GAAP net loss in Q4 2024 pose significant risks to the company's financial stability.
- **Analyst Sentiment**: The lowered price target by Keefe Bruyette & Woods reflects cautious analyst views on CMTG's outlook.
- **Institutional Interest**: Mixed movements by institutional investors indicate varied confidence in the stock.
### **Conclusion**
While there is potential for recovery, the significant financial challenges suggest a more conservative outlook. The stock is likely to remain volatile, with a price target of $3.50 to $5.50 by 2030.