Earning Date, Transcript Summary & Report

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CMI Earnings Prediction

The chart below shows how CMI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CMI sees a -1.04% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.63% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.95%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.

CMI Key Earning Data

2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
8.17B
-2.73%
-3.23%
Gross Margin
25.97%
8.62%
3.76%
Operating Margin
12.27%
25.59%
8.11%
Net Margin
10.40%
-56.90%
97.34%
EPS
5.96
-57.52%
97.35%
No Data Available

CMI Earnings Analysis

Cummins Inc Corporation (CMI.N) Earnings Conference Call

Positive

  • Earnings Performance Exceeds Expectations: Cummins Inc. reported a strong earnings performance with an EPS of $5.96, exceeding expectations of $4.91.

  • Record EBITDA Performance: The Power Systems segment achieved record performance in both EBITDA dollars and percentage, highlighting operational improvements and strong end markets.

  • X10 Engine Performance Enhancement: The introduction of the new X10 engine as part of the Cummins HELM platforms is expected to deliver enhanced performance, durability, and efficiency for customers.

  • Decarbonization Commitment: The acquisition of First Mode assets for retrofit hybrid solutions in mining and rail operations demonstrates Cummins' commitment to innovative decarbonization solutions.

  • Green Hydrogen Supply Contract: The Accelera by Cummins segment announced a significant supply contract for a 100 megawatt PEM electrolyzer system for bp’s Lingen green hydrogen project, showcasing growth in the green energy sector.

  • Improved EBITDA Margins: Despite a decrease in overall revenues, the company reported improved EBITDA margins driven by higher power generation and aftermarket volumes, pricing, and operational efficiency.

  • International Revenue Growth: International revenues, particularly in China, showed growth with a 9% increase driven by strong data center demand and infrastructure projects.

  • Strategic Financial Resilience: The company is well-positioned strategically and financially to navigate through periods of uncertainty, with a strong leadership team and a focus on customer commitments.

Negative

  • Trade Tariffs Impact Predictions: Entering unchartered territory due to trade tariffs impacting future performance predictions.

  • Tariff Impact on Demand: Uncertainty regarding the duration and extent of tariffs could negatively affect demand for capital goods.

  • North America Truck Market Decline: North America truck market showed softening, with heavy-duty truck production down 18% and medium-duty truck production down 21% compared to 2024 levels.

  • Revenue Decline Analysis: Overall revenues decreased by 3% compared to the first quarter of 2024, indicating a decline in sales performance.

  • EBITDA Margin Decline: EBITDA margin decreased significantly from 30.6% to 17.9% year-over-year, reflecting a drop in profitability.

  • Cash Flow Challenges: Operating cash flow was an outflow of $3 million compared to an inflow of $276 million a year ago, indicating cash flow challenges.

  • Sales and Revenue Decline: Sales in India decreased by 14%, and power generation revenues also dropped by 11%, reflecting market weakness.

  • Components Segment Revenue Decline: Components segment revenue decreased by 20%, indicating a significant decline in demand in North America and Europe.

Key Financial Performance iconKey Financial Performance
Operating Highlights iconOperating Highlights
Risks or Challenges iconRisks or Challenges
Strategic Initiatives & Outlook iconStrategic Initiatives & Outlook
Shareholder Return Plan iconShareholder Return Plan

CMI FAQs

How does CMI typically perform around its earnings report dates?

CMI's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -1.04% change leading up to the report and a +1.63% change in the 10 days following the release.

Is Cummins Inc (CMI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?

How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?

CMI Earnings Deck

Cummins Inc. (NYSE:CMI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

CMI Earning Call Sentiment

Cummins Inc. (NYSE:CMI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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CMI.N

1.21%
Positive
The earnings call revealed mixed financial performance with decreased revenue and EBITDA, despite a rise in EPS and gross margin. Market demand is strong in some areas but weak in North America, with economic uncertainties affecting orders. No share repurchase or dividend plans were announced, and management was vague about tariff impacts. The Q&A highlighted concerns about tariffs and economic uncertainty. Although there are positive developments in Power Systems, the overall sentiment is negative due to weak guidance and market challenges, likely leading to a stock price decline.