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CMI Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Cummins Inc(CMI) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Cummins Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-06Pre-Market4.735.59+18.187.99B8.32B+4.10+5.38+8.39
FY2025Q22025-08-05Pre-Market4.996.43+28.868.46B8.64B+2.20+3.22+7.04
FY2025Q12025-05-05Pre-Market4.825.96+23.658.17B8.17B-+0.82+2.19
FY2024Q42025-02-04Pre-Market4.685.16+10.268.09B8.45B+4.35+4.39+7.38
FY2024Q32024-11-05Pre-Market4.895.60+14.528.31B8.46B+1.77+8.86+10.08
FY2024Q22024-08-01-4.855.26+8.458.35B8.80B+5.32+4.90+0.07
FY2024Q12024-05-02-5.115.10-0.208.45B8.40B-0.55-1.26+1.83
FY2023Q42024-02-06-4.414.14-6.128.14B8.54B+4.98+4.33+6.53
FY2023Q32023-11-02-4.634.73+2.168.18B8.43B+3.07-0.05-0.26
FY2023Q22023-08-03-5.195.18-0.198.39B8.64B+2.94-7.47-9.01
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CMI Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Cummins Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-06. The company achieved an EPS of 5.59, compared to analyst estimates of 4.73 by 18.18% . Revenue for the quarter reached 8.32B compared to expectations of 7.99B by 4.10% .
The stock price reacted with a 5.38% one-day change and a 8.39% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Cummins Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

CMI Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Cummins Inc(CMI) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 8.09B and an EPS of 5.06.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 1.16%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 3.97%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.07% . These revisions correlate with a 27.73% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Cummins Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between CMI's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+1.16%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+3.97%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+0.07%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+27.73%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:33.40B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:22.82
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Stock Price510.74
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CMI Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Cummins Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: 5.59 (Actual) vs.4.73 (Estimate) (18.18%)
Revenue: 8.32B (Actual) vs. 7.99B (Estimate) (4.10%)
Price Reaction: 5.38%(1-Day), 8.39%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: 6.43 (Actual) vs.4.99 (Estimate) (28.86%)
Revenue: 8.64B (Actual) vs. 8.46B (Estimate) (2.20%)
Price Reaction: 3.22%(1-Day), 7.04%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: 5.96 (Actual) vs.4.82 (Estimate) (23.65%)
Revenue: 8.17B (Actual) vs. 8.17B (Estimate) (0.00%)
Price Reaction: 0.82%(1-Day), 2.19%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CMI performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CMI sees a -2.48% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.17% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.31%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 2.28% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 0.52% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Cummins Inc (CMI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-06
The earnings call highlights a mixed outlook. While the Power Generation market and data center demand show strength, challenges like declining truck volumes, tariff impacts, and losses in the Accelera segment introduce uncertainties. The company's efforts in cost management and strategic investments are positive, but the lack of clear guidance on tariffs and Accelera losses tempers optimism. Thus, the overall sentiment is neutral, reflecting a balance between positive growth areas and ongoing challenges.
Cummins Inc (CMI) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-08-05
The earnings call summary reveals mixed signals. While there are strong margins and investment in new capacity, significant uncertainties exist, particularly regarding tariffs and economic outlook, which could negatively impact demand. The company's inability to provide guidance due to economic uncertainty and tariffs further adds to the neutral sentiment. The Q&A section highlights some positive aspects, like sustainable margins and strong demand in certain sectors, but also points out risks such as regulatory uncertainty and potential margin declines. Overall, the sentiment is balanced with no clear positive or negative tilt.
Cummins Inc (CMI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-06
The earnings call revealed mixed financial performance with decreased revenue and EBITDA, despite a rise in EPS and gross margin. Market demand is strong in some areas but weak in North America, with economic uncertainties affecting orders. No share repurchase or dividend plans were announced, and management was vague about tariff impacts. The Q&A highlighted concerns about tariffs and economic uncertainty. Although there are positive developments in Power Systems, the overall sentiment is negative due to weak guidance and market challenges, likely leading to a stock price decline.
Cummins Inc (CMI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-05
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there are positive aspects like increased joint venture income, strong power systems segment performance, and operational improvements, there are significant negatives such as a substantial decrease in net earnings and operating cash flow outflow. The Q&A reveals management's inability to quantify tariff impacts, indicating potential uncertainties. The overall sentiment is balanced by positive guidance on margins and strategic investments, but tempered by concerns over tariffs and economic uncertainties. Thus, the stock price reaction is likely to remain neutral in the short term.
Cummins Inc (CMI) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-05
The earnings call presents several concerns: a decline in revenue and EBITDA, economic uncertainty, and lack of clear guidance on tariffs' impact. Although there are positive developments in certain segments, the absence of a shareholder return plan and weak revenue guidance overshadow these. The Q&A section highlights management's reluctance to provide detailed answers, adding to uncertainty. Consequently, the sentiment leans negative, likely leading to a stock price decline between -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
Cummins Inc (CMI) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-05
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with record high EBITDA and improved gross margin. The company maintains revenue guidance and has strategic investments in power generation. The Q&A session revealed positive sentiment from analysts, with a focus on growth and strategic pricing. Despite some uncertainties, such as Accelera's breakeven timeline, the overall outlook and market strategy appear optimistic. Given the company's strong performance and strategic initiatives, the stock price is likely to see a positive movement in the next two weeks.
Cummins Inc. (CMI) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-05
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with increased EBITDA, gross margins, and net earnings, despite challenges in the heavy-duty truck market. The strategic partnerships and investments in sustainable technology provide a positive outlook. The Q&A section highlights strong momentum in power generation and medium-duty markets, with management focusing on profitability. The raised guidance for medium-duty trucks and power generation further supports a positive sentiment. However, uncertainties in the heavy-duty market slightly temper the outlook, leading to a positive rather than strong positive prediction.
Cummins Inc. (CMI) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-01
The earnings call summary shows positive elements like a dividend increase and strong financial performance despite a decline in operating cash flow due to settlements. The Q&A section reveals optimism about margin improvements and medium-duty engine demand, with management addressing concerns about market conditions. Revenue guidance is slightly negative, but overall sentiment is positive due to strategic initiatives and consistent dividend growth. The absence of major negative factors and the positive outlook on power systems and medium-duty engines suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of CMI’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

CMI reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-06, showcasing a revenue of 8.32B against an estimate of 7.99B, resulting in a 4.1% surprise. The EPS was 5.59, surpassing the expected 4.73 by 18.18% . The stock experienced a 5.38% price change on the earnings day and a 8.39% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did CMI’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following CMI’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-06, the stock price moved by 5.38% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 8.39% change. Historically, CMI’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -2.48% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +3.17% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for CMI for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate CMI’s annual revenue to reach 8.09B, while the EPS is projected at 5.06. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 1.16% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.07% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does CMI’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between CMI’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 1.16%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.07% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from CMI’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, CMI’s stock price typically moves by -2.48% in the 10 days before its earnings and +3.17% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 5.06 and revenue of 8.09B.
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What is the sentiment in Cummins Inc (CMI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights a mixed outlook. While the Power Generation market and data center demand show strength, challenges like declining truck volumes, tariff impacts, and losses in the Accelera segment introduce uncertainties. The company's efforts in cost management and strategic investments are positive, but the lack of clear guidance on tariffs and Accelera losses tempers optimism. Thus, the overall sentiment is neutral, reflecting a balance between positive growth areas and ongoing challenges.
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