The chart below shows how TRP performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TRP sees a -0.86% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.84% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.28%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Safety Performance Excellence: TC Energy reported the best safety performance in the past five years, indicating a strong commitment to operational excellence.
EBITDA Growth Despite Missed Earnings: Comparable EBITDA from continuing operations increased by 6% compared to 2023, showcasing financial growth despite missing earnings expectations.
Liquids Business Spinoff Success: Successfully completed the spinoff of the liquids business, which is expected to enhance focus on core operations and improve financial performance.
Effective Capital Management: Placed $7 billion of assets into service while reducing net capital expenditures by 10%, demonstrating effective capital management.
Capital Reduction Strategy: Identified an additional $1.3 billion in capital reductions to be realized in 2026 and 2027, indicating proactive financial planning.
Project Management Success: Major projects, including Bruce Power’s Unit 3 MCR and Southeast Gateway, are on cost and schedule, reflecting strong project management capabilities.
Cost Control Success: The partnership with CFE on Southeast Gateway delivered the project 13% below the original budget, highlighting effective collaboration and cost control.
Future Revenue Pipeline: Announced five new growth projects with attractive build multiples, indicating a strong pipeline for future revenue generation.
Operational Efficiency Boost: Bruce Power achieved 99% availability, driving a 28% increase in quarterly EBITDA growth for the Power and Energy Solutions business unit, showcasing operational efficiency.
Dividend Growth Milestone: The company declared a first quarter 2025 dividend of $0.85 per common share, marking the 25th consecutive year of dividend growth, reflecting a commitment to shareholder value.
Deleveraging Progress Achieved: Significant progress on deleveraging efforts, with a 0.6 times reduction in debt to EBITDA since 2022, indicating improved financial health.
Negative
Earnings Miss Reported: TC Energy Corporation missed earnings expectations with reported EPS of $0.52, falling short of the expected $0.73.
Earnings Decline Analysis: Comparable earnings of $1.1 billion were 8% lower than the fourth quarter of 2023, indicating a decline in profitability year-over-year.
Increased Interest Expenses: Interest expenses increased due to lower capitalized interests, increased short-term borrowing, and one-time charges related to the spin-off, which negatively impacted financial performance.
Incentive Payment Variance: The $200 million incentive payment to Coastal GasLink in Q4 2023 was not repeated in 2024, contributing to a variance in earnings.
Foreign Exchange Challenges: The company faced challenges with foreign exchange volatility, particularly with the Mexican peso, which affected the Corporate Risk Management program and overall financial results.
Tariff Impact on Investments: Despite a strong operational performance, the company acknowledged that prolonged tariffs could impact capital allocation decisions, creating uncertainty in future investments.
TC Energy Corporation (NYSE:TRP) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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