Should You Buy Cheetah Mobile Inc (CMCM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
6.250
1 Day change
-6.86%
52 Week Range
9.440
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
CMCM is not a good buy right now for a Beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who is impatient for an entry. The stock shows some near-term technical stability, but the business remains meaningfully unprofitable (2024/Q4 net loss) with no fresh news catalysts and weak/illiquid options activity—so the risk/reward is not attractive for a long-term starter position at this time.
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: Current price 6.66, sitting just above S1 support (6.653) and below the pivot/resistance area (pivot 6.844; R1 7.035). This suggests the stock is holding support but still needs a clean break above ~6.84–7.04 to confirm upside.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.00776) but contracting, implying bullish momentum is fading rather than accelerating. RSI(6) ~46.97 is neutral, showing no strong oversold bounce signal.
Moving Averages: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an uptrend/bullish bias on moving-average terms.
Pattern-based forward view (provided): 60% chance of -1.14% next day, +1.96% next week, and -6.99% next month—skewing the 1-month outlook negative.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment/Positioning: Open-interest put/call ratio at 0.88 is slightly call-leaning (mildly bullish), but today’s option volume is essentially nonexistent (total volume 1; call volume 0, put volume 1), so the sentiment signal is low-confidence due to illiquidity.
Volatility: 30D IV ~81.86 vs historical vol ~69.47 (IV elevated). IV percentile ~59.6 suggests volatility is somewhat high versus its own history, often reflecting uncertainty rather than clear bullish conviction.
Bottom line: Options market activity is too thin to strongly confirm a bullish setup.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
5
Positive Catalysts
Technical uptrend via moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200).
Current price is holding just above a key support zone (~6.65).
Upcoming earnings (2026-02-25 pre-market) can act as a catalyst if results surprise positively.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
shows a large net loss.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2024/Q4.
Revenue: 237,089,000 (reported as flat YoY).
Net Income: -366,784,000 (still deeply negative; reported as flat YoY).
EPS: -0.24 (still negative; reported as flat YoY).
Gross Margin: 72.87% (high margin profile, but it is not translating into profitability based on net income).
Overall: Growth appears stalled and losses persist, which weakens the long-term buy case for a beginner-focused portfolio.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating trend or price target change data was provided, so a Wall Street consensus pros/cons view cannot be confirmed from the dataset.
What can be inferred from available data: the main 'pro' is technical trend structure; the main 'con' is ongoing unprofitability and lack of clear catalysts. Politician/congress trading: no recent congress trading data available; hedge funds/insiders: neutral with no significant recent trends.
Wall Street analysts forecast CMCM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMCM is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast CMCM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMCM is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
