CLW Valuation

Clearwater Paper Corp

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21.420

-0.21(-0.971%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

CLW Relative Valuation

CLW's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CLW is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Clearwater Paper Corp (CLW) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.22 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 29.00. The fair price of Clearwater Paper Corp (CLW) is between 36.10 to 43.05 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 21.42 USD , Clearwater Paper Corp is Undervalued By 40.66%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

36.10-43.05

Current Price：21.42

40.66%

Undervalued

32.28

Trailing

Forward

4.91

EV/EBITDA

Clearwater Paper Corp. (CLW) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.91. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 6.05. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.01, Undervalued between 2.01 and 4.03, Fairly Valued between 8.07 and 4.03, Overvalued between 8.07 and 10.08, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.08. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.91 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

21.42

EV/EBIT

Clearwater Paper Corp. (CLW) has a current EV/EBIT of 21.42. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 16.05. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -5.06, Undervalued between -5.06 and 5.49, Fairly Valued between 26.60 and 5.49, Overvalued between 26.60 and 37.16, and Strongly Overvalued above 37.16. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 21.42 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.22

Clearwater Paper Corp. (CLW) has a current PS of 0.22. The 5-year average PS is 0.30. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.21, Undervalued between 0.21 and 0.25, Fairly Valued between 0.34 and 0.25, Overvalued between 0.34 and 0.39, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.39. The current Forward PS of 0.22 falls within the Undervalued range.

3.96

P/OCF

Clearwater Paper Corp. (CLW) has a current P/OCF of 3.96. The 5-year average P/OCF is 3.74. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.95, Undervalued between 0.95 and 2.35, Fairly Valued between 5.14 and 2.35, Overvalued between 5.14 and 6.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.54. The current Forward P/OCF of 3.96 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

12.22

P/FCF

Clearwater Paper Corp. (CLW) has a current P/FCF of 12.22. The 5-year average P/FCF is -4.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -143.12, Undervalued between -143.12 and -73.56, Fairly Valued between 65.57 and -73.56, Overvalued between 65.57 and 135.13, and Strongly Overvalued above 135.13. The current Forward P/FCF of 12.22 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Clearwater Paper Corp (CLW) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.42. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.89 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -53.08% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.99, the current P/B ratio is about -57.96% higher. Clearwater Paper Corp (CLW) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -52.02%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 8.99%, the current FCF yield is approximately -678.86% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 15.11% , the current FCF yield is about -444.28% lower.

0.42

P/B

Median3y

0.89

Median5y

0.99

-52.02

FCF Yield

Median3y

8.99

Median5y

15.11

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for CLW's competitors is 0.76, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Clearwater Paper Corp Corp (CLW) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.22, which is -70.61% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 13.76%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

CLW.N

Clearwater Paper Corp

Mercer International Inc

International Paper Co

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of CLW decreased by 35.62% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -6.94 to -10.99.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 13.76%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of CLW in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

13.76%

344.40M → 391.80M

Revenue Growth

-107.63%

-12.05 → 0.92

Margin Expansion

58.25%

-6.94 → -10.99

P/E Change

-35.62%