Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's a concise analysis of CI stock:
Recent Price Action and Technical Analysis
The stock has shown a strong upward momentum since January 2024, rising from around $296 to current levels near $300. The stock is currently trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating positive technical momentum.
Key Recent Events
- Medicare Business Sale: On January 31, 2024, Cigna announced the sale of its Medicare businesses and CareAllies to Health Care Service Corporation (HCSC) for $3.7 billion. The transaction is expected to:
- Close in Q1 2025
- Be accretive to adjusted EPS in 2025
- Majority of proceeds will be used for share repurchases
- Regulatory Environment: The health insurance sector is experiencing significant shifts with:
- Government proposing increased Medicare Advantage plan payments for 2026
- Estimated 4.3% total payment increase, or over $21 billion
- Favorable proposal given the current political environment
Analyst Sentiment
Recent analyst views indicate:
- Jefferies maintains a Buy rating
- Expectations of relatively benign pharmacy benefit management regulations
- Projected 14% EPS growth for 2026
- Price target range of $323-$438, suggesting significant upside potential
Recommendation
Based on the technical analysis, recent strategic moves, and analyst sentiment, CI stock appears to be a BUY at current levels. The company's strategic divestment of Medicare businesses, focus on core operations, and strong analyst support suggest potential upside in the near term.