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CHMI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corp (CHMI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
2.660
1 Day change
0.38%
52 Week Range
3.670
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/13
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Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corp (CHMI) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available. While the company has positive aspects such as a strong dividend strategy and improved net income, the declining revenue, lack of significant trading trends, and neutral technical indicators suggest limited upside potential in the short term. Additionally, no strong proprietary trading signals or significant catalysts are present to justify an immediate buy decision.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is slightly positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 48.131, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 2.66, with support at 2.588 and resistance at 2.732. Overall, technical indicators suggest a neutral trend with no strong buy signal.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data shows a very low put-call ratio, indicating bullish sentiment, but the low volume and lack of significant activity limit its reliability as a strong indicator.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • The company declared a common stock dividend of $0.10 per share for Q1 2026, along with preferred stock dividends, reflecting a commitment to sustainable returns. Additionally, the net income increased significantly by 201.97% YoY, and EPS rose by 158.62% YoY in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Revenue dropped by 25.86% YoY, and gross margin fell to 0, down 100% YoY, indicating challenges in operational efficiency. There are no significant trading trends from hedge funds or insiders, and no recent congress trading data is available.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue decreased by 25.86% YoY to $26.87 million, while net income surged by 201.97% YoY to $27.39 million. EPS rose by 158.62% YoY to 0.75, but gross margin dropped to 0, down 100% YoY, indicating a mixed financial performance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Citizens raised the price target to $3 from $2.75 and maintained an Outperform rating. Analysts expect stable to modestly higher book values for Credit MREITs, supported by favorable market conditions such as a steepened yield curve and tightened spreads.

Wall Street analysts forecast CHMI stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CHMI stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 2.650
sliders
Low
3
Averages
3
High
3
Current: 2.650
sliders
Low
3
Averages
3
High
3
Citizens
Outperform
maintain
$3
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
Reason
Citizens
Price Target
$3
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Citizens raised the firm's price target on Cherry Hill Mortgage to $3 from $2.75 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Ahead of the upcoming Q4 earnings, the yield curve steepened, swap spreads widened, and interest rate volatility declined, supporting strong Agency MBS spread tightening while credit spreads remained generally stable, the analyst tells investors in a research note. These conditions point to strong positive book value performance for Agency MREITs and stable to modestly higher book values for Credit MREITs, the firm says.
B. Riley
Timothy D'Agostino
Buy
downgrade
$4 -> $3
2025-11-07
Reason
B. Riley
Timothy D'Agostino
Price Target
$4 -> $3
2025-11-07
downgrade
Buy
Reason
B. Riley analyst Timothy D'Agostino lowered the firm's price target on Cherry Hill Mortgage to $3 from $4 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares post the Q3 report. The firm sees the company's book multiple as achievable, especially after the move to an internal management structure.
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