Should I Buy CDP? CDP 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy COPT Defense Properties (CDP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

30.120

1 Day change

1.95%

52 Week Range

31.240

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

Buy now for a long-term position. CDP is holding near key support (~29.76) with bullish longer-term moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and Intellectia SwingMax recently flagged an entry (still reasonably close to the signal). Options positioning is notably call-skewed (put/call OI ratio 0.34), supporting constructive sentiment. Fundamentals show steady operating performance with EPS and net income growing YoY, while Wall Street targets ($31–$34 range recently) imply moderate upside from ~29.92. Net: suitable for a beginner long-term investor who wants to enter without waiting for a perfect dip.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), which supports an uptrend bias despite today’s -2.11% pullback. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0463) but contracting, implying upside momentum is fading short-term. RSI(6) ~40.5 is neutral-to-soft, consistent with a near-term dip rather than an overbought condition. Key levels: Pivot 30.266. Support S1 29.756 then S2 29.441. Resistance R1 30.776 then R2 31.091. With price ~29.92, the stock is sitting just above S1; a reclaim of ~30.27 improves near-term tone. Pattern-based forward odds (model): modestly negative/flat probabilities over 1-week to 1-month. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): Entry signal triggered on 2026-01-08; price is up ~2.05% since that entry, so the signal is still valid but no longer at the earliest entry price. Given current proximity to support, it remains an acceptable buy point for an impatient long-term buyer.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment read: Open interest is call-heavy (put/call OI 0.34), typically bullish/constructive positioning. Reported option volume is effectively zero today, so the OI skew is the main signal. Volatility: 30D IV ~48.5 vs historical vol ~16.4 (elevated IV vs realized), suggesting the options market is pricing meaningful uncertainty relative to recent realized moves. IV percentile ~34 and IV rank ~18.6 indicate IV is not extreme versus its own history. Takeaway: Positioning looks optimistic (call-skew), but current-day volume confirmation is limited.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Wall Street view remains broadly positive: multiple Overweight/Outperform ratings with targets above the current price (roughly $31–$34 vs ~$29.92).
Sector backdrop: commentary from analysts suggests a potentially more supportive 2026 macro environment for equity REITs and possible M&A tailwinds.
Institutional behavior: hedge funds are buying (buying amount up ~164% over the last quarter).
Operating performance: 2025/Q3 showed YoY EPS and net income growth with improved gross margin.
Event calendar: next earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-05 after hours can act as a catalyst if results/supporting guidance are solid.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Insider activity: insiders are selling (selling amount up ~106% over the last month), which can cap upside sentiment near-term.
Near-term technical tone: MACD momentum is still positive but weakening; price is below the pivot (~30.27) and needs to regain it to improve the short-term setup.
Fundamental growth rate: revenue was essentially flat to slightly down YoY in 2025/Q3 (-0.23%), so the story is more ‘steady/defensive income + margins’ than top-line growth.
No fresh news catalysts in the last week to drive immediate upside momentum.
No notable politician/congress trading signal available (no recent congress data provided).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue: $188.8M, down -0.23% YoY (flat/slightly negative top-line trend). Profitability: Net income $41.6M, up +15.6% YoY; EPS $0.37, up +15.62% YoY. Margins: Gross margin 59.74%, up +6.45% YoY. Interpretation: Even with flat revenue, profitability and margin expansion are trending positively, which is supportive for a long-term, income/quality-REIT style holding. Upcoming: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-05 (after hours).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend (ratings/targets): targets have been slightly trimmed at times (e.g., Evercore $35→$34; Cantor $35→$33) but the overall stance remains constructive with Overweight/Outperform maintained by several firms; Truist remains Hold with a modestly higher target ($30→$31). The target cluster is roughly $31–$34. Wall Street pros: resilient REIT fundamentals cited, balance sheet strength, well-covered and growing ~4% dividend yield, and potentially better 2026 REIT setup. Wall Street cons: near-term lease expirations and refinancing/maturity items are watched (e.g., bond maturity mentioned by analysts), which can keep some firms at Hold until nearer-term uncertainties clear. Influential/politician activity: no congress trading data available in the provided dataset.

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CDP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CDP is 33.67 USD with a low forecast of 31 USD and a high forecast of 38 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

5 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 29.550

Low

Averages

33.67

High

Current: 29.550

Low

Averages

33.67

High

Cantor Fitzgerald

Overweight

downgrade

$35 -> $33

AI Analysis

2026-01-05

Reason

Cantor Fitzgerald

Price Target

$35 -> $33

AI Analysis

2026-01-05

downgrade

Overweight

Reason

Cantor Fitzgerald lowered the firm's price target on COPT Defense Properties to $33 from $35 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. U.S. equity REITs returned 2.9% in 2025, lagging the S&P 500, but 2026 may offer optimism with a potentially more supportive macro environment and an accelerating M&A theme, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Stable supply and demand fundamentals, balance sheet strength, and a well-covered, growing 4% dividend yield make the sector attractive despite past underperformance, Cantor adds.

Truist

Michael Lewis

Hold

maintain

$30 -> $31

2025-12-15

Reason

Truist

Michael Lewis

Price Target

$30 -> $31

2025-12-15

maintain

Hold

Reason

Truist analyst Michael Lewis raised the firm's price target on COPT Defense Properties to $31 from $30 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The company has 14% of total lease revenue expiring in Q4 and $400M of 2.25% bonds maturing in 1Q26, but tenant retention should continue to be very high and the recently closed new five-year bond offering had an attractive rate of 4.5%, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Truist adds that COPT fundamentals remain strong and perhaps investors will like the stock more after it addresses a good portion of the near-term lease expirations, the firm added.

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CDP Should I Buy

CDP Should I Buy

Should You Buy COPT Defense Properties (CDP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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