CCK Should I Buy
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Crown Holdings Inc (CCK) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. The stock shows mixed signals with recent downgrades by analysts, hedge fund selling, and a lack of significant positive catalysts. While the technical indicators are moderately bullish, the financial performance and analyst sentiment suggest caution. Holding the stock or waiting for a better entry point is advised.
The technical indicators are moderately bullish. The MACD is positive and expanding, RSI is neutral at 67.345, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key support is at 109.678, and resistance is at 114.889. However, the stock has a 60% chance of declining by -1.51% in the next week and -1.88% in the next month.
Free cash flow is projected to normalize at $1 billion or more after capacity investments.
Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 707.29% increase in selling over the last quarter. Analysts have downgraded the stock to Neutral, citing valuation concerns and a multi-year period of lower volume growth. Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a significant decline in net income (-58.10% YoY) and EPS (-56.62% YoY).
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 7.72% YoY to $3.127 billion. However, net income dropped significantly by -58.10% YoY to $150 million, and EPS fell by -56.62% YoY to 1.31. Gross margin also declined to 17.46%, down -7.18% YoY, indicating cost pressures.
Analyst sentiment is mixed. RBC Capital and Truist maintain Buy ratings with price targets of $140 and $135, respectively. However, UBS and JPMorgan downgraded the stock to Neutral, citing valuation concerns and a more balanced risk/reward profile. Wolfe Research also downgraded the stock, stating that the bull thesis has played out.
