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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call provides a mixed sentiment. Strong financial performance and diversification are positive, but there are concerns about social inflation and pricing pressures in North America. The lack of clear guidance on property insurance pricing and the impact of social inflation adds uncertainty. The reauthorization of a share repurchase program is a positive, but the lack of specific guidance tempers the overall outlook. This results in a neutral sentiment, suggesting limited stock price movement in the near term.
Core operating EPS $6.14, up 14% from a year ago, supported by record underwriting, strong investment results, and good premium revenue growth.
Core operating income $2.5 billion, up 13%, demonstrating the broad-based diversified nature of the company.
Published underwriting income $1.6 billion, up 15% from a year ago, leading to a combined ratio of 85.6%, more than 1 percentage point better than a year earlier.
Current accident year underwriting income (excluding cats) Up almost 11.5%, supported by a combined ratio of 82.3%, nearly a full point improvement from prior year.
Adjusted net investment income Nearly $1.7 billion, up 8%, with a fixed income portfolio yield of 5.1% and a current new money rate averaging 5.4%.
Operating cash flow $3.2 billion, described as quite strong and supporting investments.
Tangible book value growth Up 23.7% per share from a year ago and 8% from the previous quarter.
Annualized core operating return on tangible equity 21%, described as a very strong result.
Global P&C premiums (excluding agriculture) Grew 5.8% (6.4% in constant dollars), with commercial up 4.2% and consumer up 11.9%.
Life Insurance division premiums Grew almost 17.5%.
North America P&C premiums (excluding agriculture) Up 5.3%, including growth of 9.1% in personal insurance and 4.1% in commercial.
Middle market division premiums Grew 8.4%, with P&C up 10% and financial lines up 2%.
Small Commercial business premiums Grew about 10%.
Major Accounts and Specialty division premiums Grew 1.5%, with large account business essentially flat and E&S business up 5.6%.
Casualty pricing in North America Up 11.6%, with rates up 10.6% and exposure up 0.9%.
High-net-worth personal lines business premiums Growth exceeding 9%, with new business growth more than 17%.
Homeowners pricing Up 10.2% in the quarter, ahead of loss costs, which remained steady at 8.9%.
International general insurance operations premiums Up 8.5% (over 10% in constant dollar), with commercial lines growing about 7% and consumer up more than 15%.
Asia premiums Grew over 12.5% in constant dollar.
Europe premiums Grew over 8%.
Latin America premiums Grew over 17%.
International life insurance business premiums Up 18% in constant dollar.
North America combined insurance companies premiums Grew over 17%.
Life division pretax income $305 million, up about 10.5%.
Book value $69 billion, an all-time high.
Cash and invested assets $160 billion, an all-time high.
Capital returned to shareholders $1.1 billion, including $388 million in dividends and $676 million in share repurchases.
Pretax catastrophe losses $630 million, split 60% U.S. and 40% international from a variety of events.
Pretax prior period development Favorable $319 million, split 87% short tail and 13% long tail.
Core operating EPS: Achieved a record $6.14, up 14% from a year ago, supported by record underwriting, strong investment results, and premium revenue growth.
Life Insurance Premiums: Grew almost 17.5%.
High-net-worth personal lines: Premium growth exceeded 9%, with new business growth over 17%.
Global P&C premiums: Grew 5.8% overall, with commercial up 4.2% and consumer up 11.9%.
International growth: Asia grew over 12.5%, Europe over 8%, and Latin America over 17% in constant dollar.
North America P&C premiums: Excluding agriculture, grew 5.3%, with personal insurance up 9.1% and commercial up 4.1%.
Underwriting income: Published underwriting income of $1.6 billion, up 15% from a year ago, with a combined ratio of 85.6%.
Investment income: Adjusted net investment income was nearly $1.7 billion, up 8%.
Operating cash flow: Strong at $3.2 billion for the quarter.
Share repurchase program: Board authorized a new $5 billion share repurchase program effective July 1.
Acquisition: Closed on the acquisition of Liberty Mutual's P&C business in Thailand, which diluted tangible book value by about $230 million.
Competitive pressures in large account-related short-tail business: Increased competition in the property business with softening prices and steady terms and conditions. Chubb is walking away from business below adequate pricing, which could impact growth in this segment.
Economic and geopolitical uncertainties: Dynamic and evolving environment with potential headwinds from budget deficits, trade and immigration policies, and a weaker dollar, which could impact economic growth and inflation.
Softening financial lines pricing: Financial lines pricing is down 1.2% in North America and over 6.5% internationally, which could affect profitability in these segments.
Catastrophe losses: Pretax catastrophe losses of $630 million in the quarter, split between U.S. and international events, impacting financial performance.
Adverse development in corporate runoff portfolio: $70 million adverse development, mostly from asbestos-related claims, which could affect financial stability.
Dilution of tangible book value: Acquisition of Liberty Mutual's P&C business in Thailand diluted tangible book value by about $230 million, impacting financial metrics.
Regulatory and tax environment: Potential challenges from new U.S. tax legislation and deregulation efforts, which could have mixed impacts on economic growth and company operations.
Revenue and Earnings Growth: The company expects its pattern of growth in revenue and earnings to continue, supported by strong fundamentals, global diversification, and disciplined operations.
Investment Income: The trend towards higher inflation and a steeper yield curve is expected to support continued growth in investment income.
Global P&C Premiums: Global P&C premiums are projected to grow, with commercial up 4.2% and consumer up 11.9%. Life Insurance division premiums are expected to grow by almost 17.5%.
North America Commercial P&C: Middle market and small commercial property are expected to remain disciplined with rising rates, while large account-related short-tail business is becoming more competitive with softening prices.
Casualty Pricing in North America: Casualty pricing is expected to continue firming, with rates up 10.6% and exposure up 0.9%.
International Operations: Premiums in international general insurance operations are expected to grow, with Asia projected to grow over 12.5%, Europe over 8%, and Latin America over 17% in constant dollars.
Life Insurance Business: Premiums in the international life insurance business, primarily in Asia, are expected to grow by 18% in constant dollars.
Tax Rate: The annual core operating effective tax rate is expected to remain in the range of 19% to 19.5%.
Dividends paid in Q2 2025: $388 million
Annualized core operating return on tangible equity: 21%
New share repurchase program: $5 billion authorized in May, effective July 1, with no expiration date
Share repurchases in Q2 2025: $676 million
Capital returned to shareholders in Q2 2025: $1.1 billion (including dividends and share repurchases)
The earnings call summary indicates strong revenue and earnings growth expectations, supported by global diversification and disciplined operations. The Q&A session reveals no significant macroeconomic impacts, strong digital capabilities, and a focus on organic growth. Despite some negative casualty development, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and strategic focus on growth areas, such as Asia and Latin America. Additionally, the company's disciplined culture and management's confidence in achieving a 14%+ ROE contribute to a positive outlook.
The earnings call provides a mixed sentiment. Strong financial performance and diversification are positive, but there are concerns about social inflation and pricing pressures in North America. The lack of clear guidance on property insurance pricing and the impact of social inflation adds uncertainty. The reauthorization of a share repurchase program is a positive, but the lack of specific guidance tempers the overall outlook. This results in a neutral sentiment, suggesting limited stock price movement in the near term.
Despite strong financial metrics, including record underwriting income and significant shareholder returns, concerns about regulatory pressures, catastrophe losses, and competitive pressures in financial lines balance the outlook. The Q&A revealed management's reluctance to provide forward guidance and address certain risks clearly, adding uncertainty. While the results are solid, the mixed signals and lack of clear guidance suggest a neutral stock price movement over the next two weeks.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, including record business growth, increased investment income, and a high return on equity. The Q&A section reveals optimism about market growth, particularly in Asia and Latin America, and management's confidence in addressing challenges. The shareholder return plan with significant repurchases and dividends further supports a positive outlook. Despite some concerns over competition and casualty lines, the overall sentiment remains positive, anticipating a potential stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
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