Should I Buy BZH? BZH 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Beazer Homes USA Inc (BZH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

24.210

1 Day change

2.67%

52 Week Range

28.080

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

BZH is not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor with $50k–$100k. The chart is neutral (no strong uptrend), Intellectia signals are absent, and the most recent quarter shows clear YoY deterioration in profitability. With earnings imminent (2026-01-29 after hours, EPS est. -0.49), the risk/reward for an impatient buyer is not compelling today.

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: BZH is at 23.46 (+0.69%), sitting just below the pivot (23.722). Moving averages are converging, which typically aligns with a range-bound/indecisive trend rather than a clean long-term uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0418) but contracting—bullish momentum is fading rather than strengthening. RSI(6) ~49.4 is neutral, signaling no clear overbought/oversold edge. Key levels: Support S1 22.96 then S2 22.489. Resistance R1 24.484 then R2 24.955. A convincing break above ~24.48 would improve the technical buy case; slipping below ~22.96 would weaken it. Pattern-based forward bias (provided): modest edge only (next week +1.57% probability-weighted), not strong enough to justify an aggressive long-term entry. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Put-call ratios are low (OI PCR 0.71; Volume PCR 0.34), which is generally bullish/constructive (more call interest/volume than puts). Positioning/Activity: Total OI 15,306 and today’s volume 381; volume is elevated vs 30-day average (~120%). Volatility: 30D IV ~46.37 vs historical vol ~36.16 (IV > HV), implying options are priced for larger moves—often seen ahead of catalysts (earnings). Overall, options lean bullish, but pricing implies the market expects movement.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

and pushes through R1 (~24.48).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

shows weakening fundamentals: revenue -1.77% YoY, net income -42.37% YoY, EPS -39.64% YoY, gross margin down materially—this undermines a long-term buy thesis at the moment.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q4. Revenue: 791.896M (-1.77% YoY) — slight top-line decline. Profitability: Net income 30.004M (-42.37% YoY) and EPS 1.02 (-39.64% YoY) — sharp earnings compression. Margins: Gross margin 13.01, down significantly YoY — indicates cost/price pressure and weaker operating leverage. Bottom line: Growth trend is negative in the most recent quarter, which is a poor backdrop for a beginner long-term entry today.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target trend data was provided, so a verified summary of upgrades/downgrades and target changes cannot be made from the dataset. From the available data alone, Wall Street ‘pros’ (bull case) would point to the bullish options skew and potential cyclical upside; the ‘cons’ would emphasize the Q4 profitability decline and lack of a confirmed uptrend.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast BZH stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BZH is 23 USD with a low forecast of 23 USD and a high forecast of 23 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 23.580

Low

Averages

High

Current: 23.580

Low

Averages

High

Oppenheimer

Tyler Batory

Outperform

downgrade

$33 -> $30

AI Analysis

2025-08-04

Reason

Oppenheimer

Tyler Batory

Price Target

$33 -> $30

AI Analysis

2025-08-04

downgrade

Outperform

Reason

Oppenheimer analyst Tyler Batory lowered the firm's price target on Beazer Homes to $30 from $33 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following quarterly results. This quarter continued a recent pattern of underwhelming operational metrics, though the firm attributes this more to macro headwinds than to execution issues. At 50% of current book value, Oppenheimer believes a lot of bad news is already reflected in the stock.

Texas Capital

initiated

$25

2025-06-17

Reason

Texas Capital

Price Target

$25

2025-06-17

initiated

Reason

Texas Capital initiated coverage of Beazer Homes with a Buy rating and $25 price target.

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BZH Should I Buy

BZH Should I Buy

Should You Buy Beazer Homes USA Inc (BZH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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