Should I Buy BZAI? BZAI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

1.100

1 Day change

-8.33%

52 Week Range

6.760

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: the trend is decisively bearish (MA stack + weakening MACD), so odds favor continued pressure despite being near support.
The stock is sitting on/near key support (~1.332). A short-term bounce is possible, but without proprietary buy signals it’s not a high-conviction entry.
Options positioning is very call-heavy (bullish speculation), but that hasn’t yet translated into price confirmation; combined with extremely high vol, this looks more like a speculative setup than a clean buy.
If you must act immediately (impatient entry), this is better treated as a speculative support-bounce attempt than a “good buy,” and it does not meet strong-buy criteria based on the provided signals.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating persistent downside momentum across timeframes.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0723 and negatively expanding → bearish momentum is strengthening, not stabilizing.
RSI: RSI_6 = 27.626 (near oversold). This can support a short bounce, but oversold alone is not a buy signal when MACD/MA trend remains bearish.
Levels: Pivot 1.691 overhead (major reclaim level). Immediate support S1 ≈ 1.332 (price ~1.33 pre-market sitting right on it); next support S2 ≈ 1.11 if S1 fails. Resistance R1 ≈ 2.05.
Pattern-based forecast (similar candlesticks): 60% chance of -0.42% next day, +1.3% next week, -5.99% next month → near-term chop/bounce possible, but monthly bias negative.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals:
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Put-call ratios are extremely low (OI PCR 0.19; Volume PCR 0.14) → strongly bullish skew / call-dominated speculation.
Activity: Today’s options volume 435 with volume vs 30-day avg at 25.65 (spike), and open interest elevated (today vs OI avg 109.32) → traders are actively positioning.
Volatility: IV 30d ~129.61 with historical vol ~129.08 (both extremely high). IV percentile 46.2 and IV rank 14.06 → IV is high in absolute terms, but not “peak” relative to its own history.
Takeaway: Options market is leaning bullish, but the underlying technicals haven’t confirmed a reversal; this is a speculative sentiment tailwind, not a trend signal.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

with RSI_6 near oversold, allowing for mean-reversion attempts.
could act as a catalyst if results/forward commentary surprise positively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

breaks decisively, the next technical magnet is S2 (~1.11), implying notable downside risk from current levels.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 11,867,000 (+1419.46% YoY) — very strong top-line growth.
Profitability: Net income -26,258,000 (still deeply negative; only +2.54% YoY improvement), indicating losses remain substantial despite revenue growth.
EPS: -0.25 (down -82.99% YoY) — per-share performance deteriorated significantly.
Gross margin: 11.9% (+72.21% YoY) — improving, but still relatively low, suggesting the business is not yet operating with strong unit economics.
Overall: Strong revenue growth but earnings quality remains weak; the market may continue to price this as a high-risk turnaround until losses shrink meaningfully.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating / price target change data was provided, so recent Wall Street upgrades/downgrades and target revisions cannot be confirmed.
Pros (what Wall St. would likely like, based on provided fundamentals): explosive revenue growth and improving gross margin.
Cons (what Wall St. would likely flag): ongoing large net losses and sharply worse EPS YoY; technical trend remains bearish, limiting near-term institutional enthusiasm.
Politicians/Congress: No recent congress trading data available; hedge fund and insider activity reported as neutral (no significant recent trends).

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast BZAI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BZAI is 8.33 USD with a low forecast of 6.5 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 1.200

Low

6.5

Averages

8.33

High

Current: 1.200

Low

6.5

Averages

8.33

High

B. Riley

NULL -> Buy

initiated

AI Analysis

2025-09-09

Reason

B. Riley

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-09-09

initiated

NULL -> Buy

Reason

B. Riley initiated coverage of Blaize with a Buy rating and $9 price target, which offers 184% potential upside. The company is in the \"very early innings\" of an enterprise artificial intelligence adoption cycle, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm views Blaize's positioning as \"unique\" with its edge-optimized graph streaming processors products and software stack to complement existing higher-power data center-centric GPU training investments, but lower incremental cost.

Rosenblatt

Kevin Cassidy

Neutral -> Buy

upgrade

2025-07-21

Reason

Rosenblatt

Kevin Cassidy

Price Target

2025-07-21

upgrade

Neutral -> Buy

Reason

Rosenblatt analyst Kevin Cassidy upgraded Blaize to Buy from Neutral with a $6 price target after the company announced a second large agreement to deploy AI infrastructure in Asia. The firm, which says it is "impressed" with Blaize's edge AI technology, is increasing its estimates, adding that the company is closing agreements that are both larger and earlier than the firm had expected.

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BZAI Should I Buy

BZAI Should I Buy

Should You Buy Blaize Holdings Inc (BZAI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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