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The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with an adjusted EBITDA margin improvement and a significant cash dividend. Strategic initiatives in digital expansion, AI for cost savings, and a robust shareholder return plan through dividends and buybacks are positive indicators. While there are some uncertainties in international expansion and specific game performance, the company's proactive strategies and optimistic guidance on growth initiatives suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
Revenue Revenue for the quarter was approximately $590 million, increasing 1% as reported and 3% on a constant currency basis, excluding service revenue amortization. Growth was driven by strong performance in Italy and a favorable mix in the United States, partially offset by the impact of the U.K. transition.
Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA grew 15% as reported and 5% in constant currency, reflecting both operating discipline and continued benefits from the Optima efficiency program.
Net Debt Leverage Net debt leverage ended the quarter at 2.4x, one of the lowest levels achieved, positioning the company well ahead of the final lotto payment completed last month.
Shareholder Returns In the first quarter, more than $70 million was returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, reflecting confidence in the durability of cash flows and the view that the current share price does not fully reflect the intrinsic value of the business.
Italy Same-Store Sales Growth Same-store sales in Italy grew 3%, driven by the successful launch of new Infinity Instants at EUR 5 and EUR 10 price points as well as Milione Di Manta, the first EUR 30 ticket.
Global iLottery Wagers Global iLottery wagers increased 30%, with U.S. wagers growing 36% and Italy wagers increasing 27%, supported by new game launches and continued strength in established franchises.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Adjusted EBITDA margin was nearly 49%, bolstered by increased upfront license fee amortization. Excluding this item, the margin would have been approximately 42% in Q1 '26, compared to about 40% last year.
Cash from Operations First quarter cash from operations was $165 million, reflecting an over $50 million negative impact from timing of working capital items, primarily related to the day of the week the quarter ended on in Italy and the associated collection cycle.
Capital Expenditures Capital expenditures totaled $110 million, with about 2/3 of the investments related to the rollout of new terminals in Italy.
Cash Dividend A cash dividend of $42 million or $0.23 per share was paid, with the LTM quarterly cash dividend yield nearly 7%.
Game innovation and portfolio optimization: Successful launch of new Infinity Instants at EUR 5 and EUR 10 price points and Milione Di Manta, the first EUR 30 ticket in Italy. Product enhancements in draw-based games, including the launch of ByPay by Quattro in March.
Digital and iLottery expansion: Global iLottery wagers increased 30%, with U.S. wagers growing 36% and Italy wagers increasing 27%. New game launches and expansion of eInstant in Virginia contributed to growth. Milione Di Manta set a new single-day wagering record.
Direct-to-consumer digital strategy: In Italy, the offering now includes lottery products, 500 casino games, and newly launched sports betting. Efforts to convert 1 million monthly app users into active digital players are underway, with full wagering functionality on mobile expected later this quarter.
Retail footprint expansion: Investment in self-service vending machines with cashless capabilities and optimized game mix is driving engagement. Expansion into new retail partnerships, including a national retailer with thousands of locations, is underway.
New market entry: Building a full-service lottery in Sao Paulo, integrating retail and digital capabilities. Digital launch planned for the second half of 2026, followed by retail rollout in early 2027.
Optima efficiency program: Contributed to a 15% adjusted EBITDA growth as reported and 5% in constant currency. Demonstrates operating discipline and cost management.
Capital allocation: Returned over $70 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Maintained a strong balance sheet with net debt leverage of 2.4x.
Strategic investments: Investments in growth initiatives, including $20 million spent in Q1, are expected to contribute more meaningfully to revenue and profit in the second half of 2026.
Debt management: Successfully refinanced revolving credit facility and repaid EUR 200 million term loan. Maintained strong liquidity of EUR 1.8 billion.
U.K. Transition Impact: The U.K. transition, which began in August 2025, continues to negatively impact revenue growth. This transition is expected to affect year-over-year comparisons until fully anniversaried.
New Jersey LMA Shortfall: The New Jersey LMA contract experienced a $10 million shortfall in Q1 2026 due to low jackpot levels. This shortfall is expected to continue into Q2, resulting in a total $20 million shortfall for the first half of 2026, which represents the maximum penalty under the contract.
Inflationary Pressures: Inflationary pressures are impacting costs such as postage and freight, which could affect profitability.
Human Capital Investments: Significant investments in human capital for retention and execution are increasing costs, potentially impacting short-term profitability.
Growth Initiative Costs: Approximately $20 million of the planned $50 million investment in growth initiatives was incurred in Q1 2026, adding to operational expenses.
Jackpot Sensitivity: Low jackpot levels in Powerball and Mega Millions are affecting sales in certain jurisdictions, particularly under the New Jersey LMA contract.
Debt Leverage: Net debt leverage is expected to peak at 3.5x midyear 2026 due to the final lotto payment, which could temporarily strain financial flexibility.
Revenue and Profit Growth: The company expects accelerated revenue and profit growth in the second half of 2026 and beyond, driven by strategic initiatives and investments.
Second Quarter 2026 Revenue and EBITDA: Revenue is expected to be below the prior year due to higher service revenue amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be modestly below the prior year, impacted by the U.K. transition, a higher New Jersey LMA shortfall, and investments in growth initiatives.
Full Year 2026 Financial Outlook: The company reaffirms its full-year 2026 revenue, profit, and cash flow outlook, supported by diverse growth initiatives and the resilience of its portfolio.
Tax Rate and Cash Taxes: The effective tax rate for 2026 is expected to be in the high 30% range, with cash taxes projected at approximately $150 million, down from $220 million in the prior year.
Capital Expenditures: Capital expenditures for 2026 include significant investments, such as the rollout of new terminals in Italy, with $110 million spent in Q1 alone.
Debt and Leverage: Net debt leverage is expected to peak around 3.5x midyear 2026 and then improve. Total liquidity post-payment is around EUR 1.8 billion, supporting capital allocation plans.
Digital and iLottery Growth: The company plans to introduce full wagering functionality on mobile in Italy later in Q2 2026, expecting meaningful contributions in the second half of the year. A digital lottery launch in Sao Paulo is planned for the second half of 2026, followed by a retail rollout in early 2027.
Retail Expansion: The company is expanding its retail footprint in the U.S. through self-service vending machines and new retail partnerships, with additional states expected to follow.
Dividends paid: $42 million in cash dividends were distributed, equating to $0.23 per share.
Dividend yield: The LTM quarterly cash dividend yield is nearly 7%.
Share repurchases: $30 million was allocated to share repurchases in the first quarter.
Total shareholder return: Over $70 million was returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in the first quarter.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with an adjusted EBITDA margin improvement and a significant cash dividend. Strategic initiatives in digital expansion, AI for cost savings, and a robust shareholder return plan through dividends and buybacks are positive indicators. While there are some uncertainties in international expansion and specific game performance, the company's proactive strategies and optimistic guidance on growth initiatives suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
The earnings call reveals strong financial health, strategic growth in iLottery, and disciplined capital allocation. Despite some concerns about competitive M&A and slower growth in Italy, the company maintains optimistic guidance and plans significant shareholder returns. The Q&A highlights proactive strategies in Brazil and North America, leveraging AI and digital expansion. These factors, combined with a robust cash flow outlook and reduced net debt, suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant EPS improvement, impressive same-store sales growth, and substantial shareholder returns. Despite some negative cash flow, adjusted metrics show positive trends. The Q&A highlighted organic growth opportunities, especially in Italy, and reaffirmed guidance, suggesting confidence in future performance. Management's avoidance of specific details introduces some uncertainty, but overall, the financial and strategic updates are positive, likely leading to a stock price increase.
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