Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: price is still in a clear bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and the pattern model shows a 60% chance of a -2.54% move next day.
The RSI(6)=16.26 is extremely oversold, which can spark a short-term bounce, but there’s no proprietary buy signal today and MACD is still negative—this looks more like “oversold in a downtrend” than a confirmed reversal.
Best tactical takeaway: if you must act now, it’s a higher-risk bounce attempt near support (S1 14.22). For a cleaner buy setup, you’d want strength back above the pivot (16.18).
Trend: Bearish structure with moving averages stacked down (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating sustained downside momentum.
Momentum: MACD histogram = -0.383 (below zero) and only “negatively contracting” → downside momentum is easing, but not flipped bullish.
Oversold: RSI_6 = 16.26 → deeply oversold; short-term bounce risk is elevated, but oversold alone is not a buy trigger without trend confirmation.
Key levels: Support S1 ~14.22 (very close to current area), then S2 ~13.01. Resistance/pivot: ~16.18, then R1 ~18.13.
Quant/pattern read: Similar-pattern stats imply near-term downside bias (next day expected drift negative; week slightly negative; month near flat).
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning (OI): Put/Call OI ratio 0.63 (calls > puts) → mildly bullish/less defensive longer positioning.
Flow (today): Extremely light volume (total volume 3; put volume 3, call volume 0) → today’s tape provides little sentiment signal; don’t over-weight it.
Volatility: 30D IV ~60.5 vs HV ~63.39 (similar), but IV percentile ~2.78 / IV rank ~4.49 → implied volatility is low vs its own history, suggesting options are relatively “cheap” compared to recent ranges.
Interpretation: OI leans constructive, but the lack of volume/participation means sentiment confirmation is weak.
Technical Summary
Sell
10
Buy
3
Positive Catalysts
could re-rate shares if results/forward commentary surprise positively.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Technical overhang: price is trading in a pronounced downtrend; oversold bounces can fail quickly without follow-through.
Near-term statistical bias: similar-pattern model indicates higher probability of next-day decline.
Earnings risk ahead: with the next earnings relatively soon, a miss or weak guidance could pressure the stock further.
Influential/insider/political activity: Hedge funds and insiders are described as neutral; no recent congress trading data available (no supportive “smart money” signal in the provided data).
Profitability: Net income -0.712M (still a loss; slightly worse YoY by -1.39%) → growth is not yet translating into consistent profits.
EPS: -0.05 (flat vs YoY in the data provided).
Margin: Gross margin 45.4%, +4.66% YoY (a clear positive operating quality signal despite net losses).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating trend or price target change data was provided, so a Wall Street consensus “pros vs cons” view cannot be reliably summarized from the dataset.
Practical read given available inputs: fundamentals show strong revenue growth and improving gross margin (bull case), but the stock remains loss-making and the chart trend is still bearish (bear case).
Wall Street analysts forecast BRCB stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BRCB is 28.25 USD with a low forecast of 27 USD and a high forecast of 30 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BRCB stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BRCB is 28.25 USD with a low forecast of 27 USD and a high forecast of 30 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 15.360
Low
27
Averages
28.25
High
30
Current: 15.360
Low
27
Averages
28.25
High
30
Raymond James
Brian Vaccaro
Outperform
maintain
$26 -> $28
AI Analysis
2025-10-16
Reason
Raymond James
Brian Vaccaro
Price Target
$26 -> $28
AI Analysis
2025-10-16
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Raymond James analyst Brian Vaccaro raised the firm's price target on Black Rock Coffee to $28 from $26 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. A selective stance is maintained across the restaurant sector ahead of what is expected to be a mixed and volatile Q3 earnings season, marked by softer limited-service trends, continued strength in casual dining, and potential commodity inflation for beef-heavy operators offset by lower chicken and dairy costs, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Recent industry softness, despite resilient overall consumer spending, appears driven by pressure on lower-income consumers, elevated unemployment among younger demographics, and broader sentiment headwinds possibly linked to political uncertainty, the firm says.
