BP Valuation

BP PLC

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32.960

+0.29(0.888%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

BP Relative Valuation

BP's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, BP is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

BP PLC (BP) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.48 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 10.69. The fair price of BP PLC (BP) is between 43.29 to 49.79 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 32.96 USD , BP PLC is Undervalued By 23.87%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

43.29-49.79

Current Price：32.96

23.87%

Undervalued

12.05

Trailing

Forward

4.25

EV/EBITDA

BP PLC. (BP) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.25. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 3.67. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.99, Undervalued between 1.99 and 2.83, Fairly Valued between 4.52 and 2.83, Overvalued between 4.52 and 5.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.36. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.25 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

8.00

EV/EBIT

BP PLC. (BP) has a current EV/EBIT of 8.00. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 6.89. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.75, Undervalued between -2.75 and 2.07, Fairly Valued between 11.71 and 2.07, Overvalued between 11.71 and 16.52, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.52. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 8.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.48

BP PLC. (BP) has a current PS of 0.48. The 5-year average PS is 0.46. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.34, Undervalued between 0.34 and 0.40, Fairly Valued between 0.51 and 0.40, Overvalued between 0.51 and 0.57, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.57. The current Forward PS of 0.48 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

3.59

P/OCF

BP PLC. (BP) has a current P/OCF of 3.59. The 5-year average P/OCF is 3.28. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.40, Undervalued between 2.40 and 2.84, Fairly Valued between 3.72 and 2.84, Overvalued between 3.72 and 4.17, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.17. The current Forward P/OCF of 3.59 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

8.04

P/FCF

BP PLC. (BP) has a current P/FCF of 8.04. The 5-year average P/FCF is 6.73. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.08, Undervalued between 3.08 and 4.90, Fairly Valued between 8.55 and 4.90, Overvalued between 8.55 and 10.37, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.37. The current Forward P/FCF of 8.04 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

BP PLC (BP) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.78 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -17.37% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.55, the current P/B ratio is about -4.83% higher. BP PLC (BP) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 12.12%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 19.42%, the current FCF yield is approximately -37.60% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 15.22% , the current FCF yield is about -20.35% lower.

1.47

P/B

Median3y

1.78

Median5y

1.55

12.12

FCF Yield

Median3y

19.42

Median5y

15.22

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for BP's competitors is 1.34, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. BP PLC Corp (BP) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.48, which is -64.40% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -4.04%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Occidental Petroleum Corp

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of BP decreased by 6.87% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -47.33 to -73.25.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -4.04%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of BP in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-4.04%

48.88B → 46.91B

Revenue Growth

-57.61%

4.93 → 2.09

Margin Expansion

54.78%

-47.33 → -73.25

P/E Change

-6.87%