Not a good buy right now: no Intellectia buy signals, weak near-term statistical trend, and deteriorating top-line growth.
Pre-market price (0.859) is sitting just above key support (S1 0.851); downside risk is immediate if support breaks.
With no news catalysts and neutral institutional/insider activity, there’s no clear trigger for a fast upside move (important for an impatient entry).
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.00426) and expanding lower → bearish momentum still building.
RSI(6)=28.281 → near-oversold conditions, but oversold alone isn’t a buy trigger without momentum stabilization.
Moving averages: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 suggests a constructive broader setup, but current momentum contradicts it (likely a pullback within a larger base).
Key levels: Pivot 0.928 (price below pivot = bearish bias). Support: 0.851 then 0.804. Resistance: 1.004 then 1.051.
Pattern-based forward bias (similar candlesticks): modeled odds point to further weakness (-1.08% next day, -2.3% next week, -6.16% next month).
and near-oversold on RSI, which can enable short technical bounces if selling pressure fades.
can help if momentum flips back up.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
No news in the last week → no clear event-driven catalyst to reverse the current downswing.
Bearish momentum is strengthening (MACD negative and expanding).
Price is below pivot (0.928); overhead supply likely until reclaimed.
Model-based trend projection is consistently negative over 1D/1W/1M horizons.
Trading trends: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral → no supportive “smart money” signal recently.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 6,988,000, down -22.46% YoY → clear top-line contraction.
Net income: -6,649,000 (still a loss) but improved 17.29% YoY → cost/expense control helped.
EPS: -0.62, down -36.73% YoY → per-share performance worsened despite net income improvement.
Gross margin: 70.74%, up +54.18% YoY → margin strength is the main bright spot, but it hasn’t translated into earnings leverage yet.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating changes or price target updates were provided in the data, so there’s no clear read on recent Wall Street sentiment shifts.
Current “pros vs cons” from available data: Pros = sharply higher gross margin and constructive longer-term moving-average structure; Cons = contracting revenue, worsening EPS, and bearish near-term momentum/forecast.
Wall Street analysts forecast BFRI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BFRI is 6 USD with a low forecast of 3 USD and a high forecast of 9 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BFRI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BFRI is 6 USD with a low forecast of 3 USD and a high forecast of 9 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 0.838
Low
3
Averages
6
High
9
Current: 0.838
Low
3
Averages
6
High
9
Roth Capital
Buy
upgrade
$8 -> $10
AI Analysis
2025-06-30
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$8 -> $10
AI Analysis
2025-06-30
upgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital raised the firm's price target on Biofrontera Inc. to $10 from $8 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm notes Biofrontera Inc. acquired full U.S. Ameluz and RhodoLED rights from former parent company Biofrontera AG, which, when combined with the $11M investment from existing institutional investors, funds Biofrontera Inc. to profitability.
Benchmark
Bruce Jackson
Buy
downgrade
$7
2025-05-19
Reason
Benchmark
Bruce Jackson
Price Target
$7
2025-05-19
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Benchmark analyst Bruce Jackson lowered the firm's price target on Biofrontera Inc. to $2.75 from $7 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. After Q1 revenue of $8.6M lagged the firm's $10.6M estimate, its new revenue estimate is $41.1M for 2025, down from $43.1M, notes the analyst, who adds that historic sales patterns would suggest that the "already seasonally heavy" Q4 will be "the key to this year's revenue growth."
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for BFRI