BCO Valuation

Brinks Co

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112.650

-0.68(-0.600%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

BCO Relative Valuation

BCO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, BCO is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Brinks Co (BCO) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 13.36 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 12.09. The fair price of Brinks Co (BCO) is between 105.23 to 137.89 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

105.23-137.89

Current Price：112.65

Fair

13.36

Trailing

Forward

7.85

EV/EBITDA

Brinks Co. (BCO) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.85. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 7.50. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.73, Undervalued between 5.73 and 6.62, Fairly Valued between 8.39 and 6.62, Overvalued between 8.39 and 9.27, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.27. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.85 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

10.72

EV/EBIT

Brinks Co. (BCO) has a current EV/EBIT of 10.72. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 10.38. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.86, Undervalued between 7.86 and 9.12, Fairly Valued between 11.63 and 9.12, Overvalued between 11.63 and 12.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.89. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 10.72 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.87

Brinks Co. (BCO) has a current PS of 0.87. The 5-year average PS is 0.73. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.50, Undervalued between 0.50 and 0.61, Fairly Valued between 0.85 and 0.61, Overvalued between 0.85 and 0.96, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.96. The current Forward PS of 0.87 falls within the Overvalued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Brinks Co. (BCO) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 3.93. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.57, Undervalued between -2.57 and 0.68, Fairly Valued between 7.18 and 0.68, Overvalued between 7.18 and 10.43, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.43. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Brinks Co. (BCO) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 5.55. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -4.77, Undervalued between -4.77 and 0.39, Fairly Valued between 10.71 and 0.39, Overvalued between 10.71 and 15.87, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.87. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Undervalued range.

Brinks Co (BCO) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 18.61. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 11.64 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 59.90% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 16.98, the current P/B ratio is about 9.56% higher. Brinks Co (BCO) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 7.36%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 9.16%, the current FCF yield is approximately -19.63% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 8.61% , the current FCF yield is about -14.48% lower.

18.61

P/B

Median3y

11.64

Median5y

16.98

7.45

FCF Yield

Median3y

9.16

Median5y

8.61

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for BCO's competitors is 2.69, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Brinks Co Corp (BCO) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.88, which is -67.22% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 3.78%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Paymentus Holdings Inc

Laureate Education Inc

2.43

4.99%

4.12B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of BCO decreased by 2.36% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 1.25B to 1.30B.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed 1.90%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of BCO in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

3.78%

1.25B → 1.30B

Revenue Growth

-8.04%

3.98 → 3.66

Margin Expansion

1.90%

29.94 → 30.51

P/E Change

-2.36%