BCC Should I Buy
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Boise Cascade Co (BCC) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While the technical indicators show some bullish trends, the company's financial performance has significantly declined, insider selling has increased, and analysts have mixed views with some projecting underperformance. Given the lack of strong positive catalysts and the absence of proprietary trading signals, it is better to hold off on buying this stock currently.
The technical indicators show mixed signals. The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 54.568, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 86.006 with resistance at 91.1 and support at 80.912. However, the stock has a 60% chance of declining by -1.6% in the next day and shows limited upside potential in the near term.
The company has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.22 per share, which may attract income-focused investors. Additionally, disciplined supply management in containerboard production could support price increases in the future.
Analysts have mixed views, with one firm projecting underperformance due to lower wood pricing and reduced homebuilding/remodeling activity.
In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue decline of -2.68% YoY to $1.67 billion. Net income dropped by -76.09% YoY to $21.77 million, and EPS fell by -75.11% YoY to $0.58. Gross margin also declined by -24.53% YoY to 13.26%, reflecting significant financial challenges.
Analysts have mixed opinions. Truist raised its price target to $92 from $88 and maintains a Buy rating, citing potential growth in beverage cans and containerboard pricing. However, BofA lowered its price target to $81 from $84 and maintains an Underperform rating, citing depressed earnings expectations due to lower wood pricing and reduced homebuilding activity.
