Should You Buy BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD (BAM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
50.690
1 Day change
-1.34%
52 Week Range
64.100
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who is impatient. BAM’s trend is currently bearish (price below key moving averages, MACD still negative), and options positioning is strongly defensive (heavy put bias), which increases the odds you’d be buying into near-term downside/volatility ahead of the next earnings (2026-02-04). For a long-term investor it can be attractive, but the current setup does not favor entering immediately.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bearish/weak. Moving averages are stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), implying the stock is in a broader downtrend and recent price action hasn’t reclaimed key trend levels. MACD histogram is -0.18 (below zero) and only “negatively contracting,” which suggests downside momentum is easing but has not flipped bullish. RSI(6) ~47.4 is neutral—no oversold bounce signal. Key levels: pivot 52.178 (needs to reclaim for improvement), resistance at 53.769 then 54.752; support at 50.587 then 49.604. With price ~51.31 (below pivot), the technical bias remains cautious.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Pattern-based forward bias provided also leans negative (model indicates higher probability of mild weakness next week and larger weakness over the next month).
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options sentiment is notably bearish/defensive. Put open interest (18,527) materially exceeds call open interest (9,177), confirming persistent downside hedging/speculation. Even more important, today’s put/call volume ratio is extremely high (7.44) with puts dominating volume (729 puts vs 98 calls), indicating traders are actively positioning for downside or protection. Implied volatility (30D) ~37.64 vs historical vol ~32.93 suggests elevated option pricing; IV percentile ~79.2 indicates IV is high versus its typical range, consistent with caution ahead of catalysts (earnings) or uncertainty. Net: options market is not signaling a clean ‘risk-on’ entry here.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
1
Positive Catalysts
1) Upcoming earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-04 pre-market could reset sentiment if fundraising/fee-related earnings surprise to the upside (street EPS est. ~0.41). 2) Wall Street positioning is not universally negative: multiple firms still carry Buy/Outperform-equivalent views, and several price targets remain well above the current ~$51 level, implying longer-term upside if markets cooperate. 3) Company described by at least one firm (TD) as “defensive” in the current macro backdrop, which can support longer-term holders if risk assets wobble.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
1) Clear bearish technical structure (below pivot, bearish MA stack, MACD still negative) increases the chance of near-term drawdowns after entry. 2) Options market is aggressively put-skewed (OI PCR 2.02; volume PCR 7.44), which often accompanies bearish near-term expectations or hedging pressure. 3) Analyst commentary flags macro/capital markets uncertainty into 2026, which can weigh on asset managers’ fundraising, realizations, and fee growth. 4) Event risk: earnings are soon (2026-02-04 pre-market), and elevated IV suggests the market expects a meaningful move; this is unfavorable for an impatient investor who doesn’t want to sit through potential drawdown.
Financial Performance
Latest provided quarter: 2025/Q3. Reported growth is very strong YoY: Revenue $1.272B (+648.24% YoY), Net Income $724M (+461.24% YoY), EPS $0.44 (+46.67% YoY). This indicates strong operating momentum versus the prior-year period, but the exceptionally large revenue/net income growth rates may reflect mix/one-time effects or a low base; the cleaner signal for shareholders is EPS growth (+46.67% YoY), which is robust. Overall, the latest quarter snapshot supports a solid fundamental backdrop, but the current tape/positioning is not confirming a good immediate entry.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent analyst trend: multiple firms lowered price targets (TD: 76->75 Hold; Goldman: 67->60 Buy; RBC: 76->74 Outperform; BofA: 72->67 Neutral; KBW: 62->59 Underperform; Scotiabank: 67.25->65.75 Outperform). UBS initiated Neutral at $59. Net: targets have been trimmed across the board, reflecting more cautious macro expectations, but ratings remain mixed-to-slightly-positive overall (several Outperform/Buy vs some Neutral/Hold and one Underperform).
Wall Street ‘pros’ view: scaled alternative asset manager, asset-light model, secular tailwinds toward alternatives, potential operating leverage from fundraising and a capital-markets recovery.
Wall Street ‘cons’ view: valuation/expectations vs macro uncertainty, timing risk around a slower capital markets recovery, and at least one notable underperform call.
Influential/political activity: No recent congress trading data available; hedge fund and insider activity flagged as Neutral with no significant recent trends.
Wall Street analysts forecast BAM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BAM is 64.28 USD with a low forecast of 57 USD and a high forecast of 75 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BAM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BAM is 64.28 USD with a low forecast of 57 USD and a high forecast of 75 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 51.380
Low
57
Averages
64.28
High
75
Current: 51.380
Low
57
Averages
64.28
High
75
TD Securities
Hold
downgrade
$76 -> $75
AI Analysis
2026-01-27
New
Reason
TD Securities
Price Target
$76 -> $75
AI Analysis
2026-01-27
New
downgrade
Hold
Reason
TD Securities lowered the firm's price target on Brookfield Asset Management to $75 from $76 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares as part of a Q4 preview. The firm says recent macro developments have reduced investor confidence in a robust capital markets recovery in 2026. TD views Brookfield Asset Management as "defensive" in this environment.
Goldman Sachs
Buy
downgrade
$67 -> $60
2026-01-06
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$67 -> $60
2026-01-06
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Goldman Sachs lowered the firm's price target on Brookfield Asset Management to $60 from $67 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Goldman Sachs is broadly positive on its Capital Markets coverage into 2026, with Alternative and Traditional managers presenting the most compelling upside, followed by Brokers and Trust Banks, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm expects Capital Markets recovery to gain steam across M&A and Equity Capital Markets.
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