BAER Valuation

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc

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2.050

0(0.000%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

BAER Relative Valuation

BAER's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, BAER is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc (BAER) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.98 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -1.30. The fair price of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc (BAER) is between 1.48 to 2.92 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

1.48-2.92

Current Price：2.05

Fair

-3.88

Trailing

Forward

14.89

EV/EBITDA

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc. (BAER) has a current EV/EBITDA of 14.89. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 6.73. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -11.19, Undervalued between -11.19 and -2.23, Fairly Valued between 15.69 and -2.23, Overvalued between 15.69 and 24.64, and Strongly Overvalued above 24.64. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 14.89 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

49.41

EV/EBIT

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc. (BAER) has a current EV/EBIT of 49.41. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -26.24. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -265.62, Undervalued between -265.62 and -145.93, Fairly Valued between 93.44 and -145.93, Overvalued between 93.44 and 213.13, and Strongly Overvalued above 213.13. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 49.41 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.98

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc. (BAER) has a current PS of 0.98. The 5-year average PS is 0.65. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.33, Undervalued between -1.33 and -0.34, Fairly Valued between 1.64 and -0.34, Overvalued between 1.64 and 2.63, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.63. The current Forward PS of 0.98 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc. (BAER) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc. (BAER) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc (BAER) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of -0.31. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of -0.66 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -53.19% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -0.93, the current P/B ratio is about -66.92% higher. Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc (BAER) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 11.44%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -11.29%, the current FCF yield is approximately -201.30% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -11.29% , the current FCF yield is about -201.30% lower.

-0.31

P/B

Median3y

-0.66

Median5y

-0.93

11.44

FCF Yield

Median3y

-11.29

Median5y

-11.29

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for BAER's competitors is 0.53, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc Corp (BAER) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.98, which is 85.28% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 136.29%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

BAER.O

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc

Spirit Aviation Holdings Inc

Surf Air Mobility Inc

New Century Logistics (BVI) Ltd

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of BAER decreased by 23.79% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 13.01M to 30.75M.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed -58.78%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of BAER in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

136.29%

13.01M → 30.75M

Revenue Growth

-101.30%

-76.69 → 1.00

Margin Expansion

-58.78%

-9.35 → -3.86

P/E Change

-23.79%