AXTI Valuation

AXT Inc

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2.480

-0.03(-1.195%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AXTI Relative Valuation

AXTI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AXTI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

AXT Inc (AXTI) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 1.24 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 4.91. The fair price of AXT Inc (AXTI) is between 2.30 to 5.13 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

2.30-5.13

Current Price：2.48

Fair

-6.76

Trailing

Forward

-20.92

EV/EBITDA

AXT Inc. (AXTI) has a current EV/EBITDA of -20.92. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 32.62. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -172.79, Undervalued between -172.79 and -70.09, Fairly Valued between 135.32 and -70.09, Overvalued between 135.32 and 238.02, and Strongly Overvalued above 238.02. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -20.92 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-10.42

EV/EBIT

AXT Inc. (AXTI) has a current EV/EBIT of -10.42. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -3.60. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -58.73, Undervalued between -58.73 and -31.17, Fairly Valued between 23.97 and -31.17, Overvalued between 23.97 and 51.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 51.54. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -10.42 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.24

AXT Inc. (AXTI) has a current PS of 1.24. The 5-year average PS is 1.90. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.13, Undervalued between 0.13 and 1.01, Fairly Valued between 2.79 and 1.01, Overvalued between 2.79 and 3.68, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.68. The current Forward PS of 1.24 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-4.74

P/OCF

AXT Inc. (AXTI) has a current P/OCF of -4.74. The 5-year average P/OCF is 12.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -96.07, Undervalued between -96.07 and -41.82, Fairly Valued between 66.67 and -41.82, Overvalued between 66.67 and 120.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 120.91. The current Forward P/OCF of -4.74 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-6.08

P/FCF

AXT Inc. (AXTI) has a current P/FCF of -6.08. The 5-year average P/FCF is -92.55. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1266.87, Undervalued between -1266.87 and -679.71, Fairly Valued between 494.62 and -679.71, Overvalued between 494.62 and 1081.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 1081.78. The current Forward P/FCF of -6.08 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

AXT Inc (AXTI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.67 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -6.60% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.12, the current P/B ratio is about -44.01% higher. AXT Inc (AXTI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -12.59%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -14.49%, the current FCF yield is approximately -13.16% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -11.71% , the current FCF yield is about 7.45% lower.

0.63

P/B

Median3y

0.67

Median5y

1.12

-12.59

FCF Yield

Median3y

-14.49

Median5y

-11.71

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AXTI's competitors is 1.48, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. AXT Inc Corp (AXTI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.24, which is -15.89% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -35.63%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

M-Tron Industries Inc

Richardson Electronics Ltd

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AXTI decreased by 6.42% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -4.29 to -42.70.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -35.63%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AXTI in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-35.63%

27.92M → 17.97M

Revenue Growth

895.34%

-4.29 → -42.70

Margin Expansion

-866.13%

0.59 → -4.54

P/E Change

-6.42%