Should You Buy Avery Dennison Corp (AVY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
185.290
1 Day change
0.23%
52 Week Range
190.450
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Buy AVY now for a beginner, long-term investor. The longer-term trend is still constructive (bullish moving-average stack), Wall Street price targets have been raised with multiple Buy ratings, hedge funds have been accumulating aggressively, and options positioning is strongly call-leaning. While near-term momentum is slightly weakening (negative, expanding MACD histogram) and the last reported quarter showed earnings pressure, the overall setup favors owning it today rather than waiting.
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Technical Analysis
Price: 186.65 (-0.73%). Trend picture is mixed-to-positive.
- Moving averages: Bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests the primary trend remains up.
- Momentum: MACD histogram -0.223 and negatively expanding = short-term momentum has weakened and could cap immediate upside.
- RSI(6): 52.7 (neutral) = no overbought/oversold edge.
- Key levels: Pivot 186.35 (price is essentially on it). Near-term support S1 183.02 then S2 180.97; resistance R1 189.67 then R2 191.73. This is a reasonable “buy-at-pivot” area for a long-term entry, with clear nearby support levels.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options sentiment skews bullish:
- Open interest put/call ratio 0.21 = far more calls than puts outstanding (risk-on positioning).
- Volume put/call ratio 0.34 = call-heavy trading activity.
- IV (30d) 23.74 vs historical vol 33.74 = implied volatility is not elevated versus realized; not signaling acute fear.
- Volume is light vs average (today vs 30D avg ~33%), so it’s a supportive sentiment read but not a “crowded” momentum chase.
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
1) Analyst tone improving: multiple price-target raises in early Jan 2026 (Truist to 234 Buy; BofA to 198 Buy; Citi to 188 Neutral).
2) Hedge fund flow: “Hedge Funds are Buying” with a very large quarter-over-quarter increase in buying activity.
3) Business commentary tailwinds (from analyst notes): beverage cans growth in NA/EU, potential pricing discipline in containerboard, and improving macro tide for both segments.
4) Event catalyst: Next earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-04 pre-market (Street EPS est. 2.40) can re-rate the stock if margins/labels trends stabilize.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
1) Near-term momentum weakening: negative and expanding MACD histogram raises risk of short-term chop/pullback.
2) Fundamentals (latest reported quarter) showed profit pressure: net income, EPS, and gross margin all down YoY.
3) Industry volume setup could be “challenging in 2026” (per Citi), which may limit multiple expansion if demand stays muted.
4) No supportive near-term news flow in the last week (no fresh catalysts reported).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
- Revenue: $2.215B, +1.47% YoY (modest top-line growth).
- Net income: $166.3M, -8.48% YoY (decline).
- EPS: 2.13, -5.33% YoY (decline).
- Gross margin: 28.66%, -0.14% YoY (slight compression).
Takeaway: Sales growth is positive but slow; profitability is the weak spot recently. The next earnings (QDEC 2025, reported 2026-02-04) is important to confirm whether earnings/margins are stabilizing.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend (early Jan 2026): price targets moved up overall, and the rating mix leans positive.
- Truist: PT raised to $234, Buy (constructive view; expects some packaging volume challenges but sees pockets of growth and pricing discipline).
- BofA: PT raised to $198, Buy (expects macro improvement; sees encouraging signs in intelligent labels initiatives).
- Citi: PT raised to $188, Neutral (more cautious; expects challenging volume setup).
Wall Street pros: improving macro/segment trends, potential pricing power, intelligent labels initiatives gaining traction.
Wall Street cons: 2026 volume concerns and recent earnings/margin softness.
Influential/political trading check: No recent congress trading data available; insiders are neutral (no significant recent trend).
Wall Street analysts forecast AVY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AVY is 205.38 USD with a low forecast of 188 USD and a high forecast of 234 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AVY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AVY is 205.38 USD with a low forecast of 188 USD and a high forecast of 234 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 184.870
Low
188
Averages
205.38
High
234
Current: 184.870
Low
188
Averages
205.38
High
234
Truist
Buy
maintain
$213 -> $234
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$213 -> $234
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
maintain
Buy
Reason
Truist raised the firm's price target on Avery Dennison to $234 from $213 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Early 2026 is expected to see modestly challenged packaging volumes due to limited promotions, though some CPGs are successfully driving volume while retaining price gains, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Beverage cans should continue growing in North America and Europe, and containerboard producers are likely to implement price increases successfully thanks to disciplined supply management, the firm says.
Citi
Anthony Pettinari
Neutral
maintain
$180 -> $188
2026-01-06
Reason
Citi
Anthony Pettinari
Price Target
$180 -> $188
2026-01-06
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Citi analyst Anthony Pettinari raised the firm's price target on Avery Dennison to $188 from $180 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated estimates targets in the packing group as part of its 2026 outlook. The volume setup for the group remains challenging in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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