Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: near-term signals skew slightly bearish (negative/expanding MACD + probabilistic drift lower over 1W–1M).
Longer-term trend structure is still constructive (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the stock is currently below the key pivot (68.20), so upside is not confirmed.
Best risk/reward would be closer to support (~61.78) or after a decisive reclaim of 68.20; since you don’t want to wait, the correct call is to NOT chase here.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests the broader trend is up.
RSI: RSI_6 ~47.9 (neutral) = no oversold edge to justify an impatient buy.
Key levels: Pivot 68.196 (must reclaim for stronger upside), resistance R1 74.614; support S1 61.779 then S2 57.814.
Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern stats imply mild downside bias (-0.92% next week, -2.85% next month).
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Open-interest put/call at 0.32 indicates heavier call open interest (bullish tilt/less hedging demand).
Flow (today): Put/call volume ratio at 1.0 is neutral, but overall volume is very light (4 contracts; ~33% of 30D average), so sentiment read-through is weak.
Volatility: 30D IV ~75.7 vs HV ~61.3 (options pricing in elevated move risk); IV percentile ~21 suggests IV is not extreme relative to its own history.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
supports a fundamental growth narrative.
on 2026-02-10 after hours can re-rate the stock if results/forward guidance are strong (street EPS est shown as 1.45).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Near-term tape: Momentum deterioration (negative and expanding MACD) increases the odds of a pullback before any sustained breakout.
Positioning/participation: Options volume is thin today, so there’s no strong “risk-on” confirmation.
Earnings risk: With earnings close (2026-02-10), any miss or weaker cost guidance can pressure the stock quickly.
Statistical drift: Pattern-based forward returns skew slightly negative over 1W–1M.
Profitability: Net income 5.626M, -147.19% YoY and EPS 0.07, -143.75% YoY (profit/EPS deterioration despite higher revenue).
Margins: Gross margin 60.37, +30.61% YoY (gross profitability improved, but below-the-line items/costs appear to have hurt net results).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating trend or price-target change data was provided, so recent Wall Street revisions cannot be verified.
Wall Street-style pros (based on the provided info): record production growth, favorable macro backdrop for gold/metals, strong YoY revenue growth.
Wall Street-style cons: recent YoY net income/EPS weakness, near-term technical momentum softening, and binary earnings event risk in early February.
Influential trading check: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral; no recent congress trading data available.
Wall Street analysts forecast AUGO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AUGO is 50.4 USD with a low forecast of 48 USD and a high forecast of 52.8 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AUGO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AUGO is 50.4 USD with a low forecast of 48 USD and a high forecast of 52.8 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 62.730
Low
48
Averages
50.4
High
52.8
Current: 62.730
Low
48
Averages
50.4
High
52.8
BofA
Lawson Winder
Buy
maintain
$40 -> $45
AI Analysis
2025-10-16
Reason
BofA
Lawson Winder
Price Target
$40 -> $45
AI Analysis
2025-10-16
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA analyst Lawson Winder raised the firm's price target on Aura Minerals to $45 from $40 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm raised price targets for its North American precious metals coverage by 16% on average on the back of higher gold and silver price forecasts, telling investors that the firm's commodities team now forecasts gold to reach $5,000 per ounce and silver to hit $65 per ounce.
BofA
NULL -> Buy
initiated
$40
2025-09-22
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$40
2025-09-22
initiated
NULL -> Buy
Reason
BofA initiated coverage of Aura Minerals with a Buy rating and $40 price target.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for AUGO
