Should I Buy AU? AU 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Anglogold Ashanti PLC (AU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

107.020

1 Day change

-7.52%

52 Week Range

115.810

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

Buy AU now for a beginner, long-term investor with $50k–$100k. The stock is in a strong uptrend (bullish MA stack and expanding positive MACD), fundamentals recently accelerated sharply (2025/Q3 revenue +62% YoY, net income +200% YoY, EPS +147% YoY), and Wall Street has been raising price targets aggressively into a supportive gold backdrop. While the near-term setup looks somewhat stretched (RSI elevated and price near resistance), the broader trend, earnings momentum, and analyst conviction support buying immediately rather than waiting for a perfect pullback.

Technical Analysis

Trend is bullish and momentum remains positive. - Moving averages: Bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an established uptrend. - MACD: Histogram +1.019 and expanding above zero = strengthening upside momentum. - RSI(6): 77.1 (elevated). This suggests the stock is extended in the short run and may churn/pull back, but it does not negate the primary uptrend. - Key levels: Pivot 104.03. Resistance R1 110.841 (pre-market ~110.54 is just below), then R2 115.049. Support S1 97.219. - Pattern-based expectation: model indicates modest near-term drift (-0.12% next day, -0.33% next week) but a positive 1-month bias (+4.28%). **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mixed-to-slightly defensive. - Open Interest Put/Call = 1.33: heavier put positioning on open interest, consistent with hedging or cautious positioning despite the uptrend. - Volume Put/Call = 0.87: day-to-day flow slightly favors calls (more bullish/upswing participation). - Volatility: IV percentile 88.4 and 30D IV ~58.3 vs historical vol ~71.4 suggests options are pricing substantial movement; sentiment expects continued action rather than a quiet tape.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Gold-price tailwind: news notes gold has surged ~80% since late Jan (prior year) and is at record highs, supporting cash flow expectations for producers.
- Analyst support strengthened materially: multiple banks raised targets recently (Citi, Scotiabank, JPMorgan, Roth), reinforcing institutional confidence.
- Earnings catalyst ahead: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-23 (pre-market) with Street EPS est. ~1.90 could extend the narrative if results confirm strength.
- Operational/fundamental momentum: strong 2025/Q3 profitability expansion (margin and EPS growth) supports a higher-quality uptrend.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Short-term technical stretch: RSI elevated and price is pressing near R1 (110.841), which can lead to near-term consolidation.
- Options positioning shows meaningful put open interest (OI P/C 1.33), implying notable hedging demand.
- No supportive flow signals from insiders/hedge funds: both are reported as neutral recently (no clear confirmation from smart-money activity).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3 showed sharp acceleration. - Revenue: $2.417B, +62.11% YoY - Net income: $669M, +200.00% YoY - EPS: 1.31, +147.17% YoY - Gross margin: 49.32, +29.01% YoY Overall, results indicate strong operating leverage and improving profitability trends, consistent with a long-term buy thesis in a strong gold environment.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst trend is clearly improving, led by repeated price target increases while maintaining bullish ratings. - 2026-01-26 Scotiabank: PT to $131 (from $92), Outperform - 2026-01-20 Citi: PT to $120 (from $105), Buy - 2025-12-03 JPMorgan: PT to $131 (from $128), Overweight - Roth and Citi also raised targets multiple times in Dec. Wall Street pros: higher gold forecasts/tailwinds, strong cash generation and profitability momentum, and continued upside implied by new targets. Cons: near-term positioning is somewhat hedged (puts in OI) and the stock looks extended short-term, which can limit immediate upside even in a longer-term uptrend.

5 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AU stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AU is 104.4 USD with a low forecast of 90 USD and a high forecast of 131 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

5 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 115.720

Low

Averages

104.4

High

131

Current: 115.720

Low

Averages

104.4

High

131

Scotiabank

Outperform

upgrade

$92 -> $131

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

New

Reason

Scotiabank

Price Target

$92 -> $131

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

New

upgrade

Outperform

Reason

Scotiabank raised the firm's price target on AngloGold Ashanti to $131 from $92 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for Gold & Precious Minerals stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. The firm has increased both gold and silver forecasts, supported by economic and geopolitical uncertainty as well as strong central bank buying.

Citi

Ephrem Ravi

Buy

maintain

$105 -> $120

2026-01-20

Reason

Citi

Ephrem Ravi

Price Target

$105 -> $120

2026-01-20

maintain

Buy

Reason

Citi analyst Ephrem Ravi raised the firm's price target on AngloGold Ashanti to $120 from $105 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

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AU Should I Buy

AU Should I Buy

Should You Buy Anglogold Ashanti PLC (AU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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