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AU Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Anglogold Ashanti PLC (AU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
107.030
1 Day change
6.78%
52 Week Range
129.140
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/08
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.
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AngloGold Ashanti is not a strong buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available. The business fundamentals are solid and the latest quarter showed strong growth, but the current setup is mixed: technicals are only neutral-to-slightly positive, options sentiment is bearish-leaning, and the stock has an earnings event due immediately. Given the lack of a strong proprietary buy signal today and the absence of a SwingMax entry, the best direct call is to hold rather than buy aggressively at this moment.

Technical Analysis

The trend is constructive but not decisive. Price is above the prior close and trading near resistance, with current price 100.45 versus pivot 96.215 and first resistance at 101.379. RSI_6 at 63.625 is neutral-to-bullish but not overextended, while MACD histogram at -0.11 remains below zero, though the negative momentum is contracting. Moving averages are converging, which usually signals a pending trend decision rather than a clear breakout. Overall, technicals suggest a near-term attempt to test resistance, but not a clean high-conviction entry.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mixed but slightly cautious. Put-call open interest ratio of 1.37 shows more puts than calls outstanding, which leans bearish or hedged. However, the option volume put-call ratio of 0.81 is less bearish and indicates somewhat more active call interest than put activity on the day. Implied volatility is elevated at 60.9 with IV percentile at 80.48, so the market is pricing in meaningful event risk, likely tied to earnings. Today’s option activity is well above the 30-day average in open interest terms, reinforcing that traders are positioning ahead of the catalyst.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Q4 2025 revenue rose 75.31% YoY to 3.068B.", "Q4 2025 net income rose 81.91% YoY to 855M.", "Q4 2025 EPS rose 64.71% YoY to 1.68.", "Gross margin improved to 53.59%, up 32.65% YoY.", "Analysts remain generally constructive overall, with several Buy/Overweight/Outperform ratings in recent notes.", "Rising global gold exploration budgets support the sector backdrop.", "The company has an earnings catalyst with QMAR 2026 results scheduled pre-market."]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["No AI Stock Picker signal today.", "No recent SwingMax entry signal.", "MACD is still below zero, so momentum is not fully confirmed.", "Options open interest put-call ratio of 1.37 suggests bearish or defensive positioning.", "The stock is near resistance, limiting immediate upside without a breakout.", "Similar candlestick pattern analysis suggests downside risk over the next day, week, and month.", "Hedge funds and insiders are both neutral, with no meaningful buying signal from smart-money activity."]

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q4. The company posted very strong year-over-year growth, with revenue up 75.31% to 3.068B, net income up 81.91% to 855M, EPS up 64.71% to 1.68, and gross margin expanding to 53.59%. This is a strong operational print and supports the long-term investment case.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is broadly positive but slightly mixed on valuation and near-term upside. Morgan Stanley recently raised its price target while keeping Equal Weight, JPMorgan lowered its target but kept Overweight, Roth Capital cut its target but retained Buy, and Scotiabank remains Outperform. The overall Wall Street view is constructive on the company’s asset quality, free cash flow, dividends, and gold leverage, but some firms have trimmed targets due to changes in gold price expectations and recent share pullbacks.

Wall Street analysts forecast AU stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AU stock price to rise
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 100.230
sliders
Low
92
Averages
116.2
High
131
Current: 100.230
sliders
Low
92
Averages
116.2
High
131
Roth Capital
Joe Reagor
Buy
maintain
$103 -> $121
AI Analysis
2026-05-11
New
Reason
Roth Capital
Joe Reagor
Price Target
$103 -> $121
AI Analysis
2026-05-11
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Joe Reagor raised the firm's price target on AngloGold Ashanti to $121 from $103 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's Q1 results were mixed compared to expectations but had a minimal impact on valuations, the analyst tells investors in a research note, adding that the firm is increasing its price target to reflect the recent rebound in gold prices.
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
maintain
2026-04-15
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
2026-04-15
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on AngloGold Ashanti to ZAR 165,000 from ZAR 150,000 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm is raising its earnings estimates and price targets across its gold coverage due primarily to its higher gold price forecast, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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