Should You Buy Atomera Inc (ATOM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Sell
Latest Price
3.050
1 Day change
52 Week Range
10.680
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor with $50k–$100k. ATOM is acting like a high-volatility, sentiment-driven microcap: price momentum is strong but technically overheated (RSI ~91) and fundamentals (revenue and margins) are weak. With no proprietary buy signals today and no fresh news catalyst, the risk/reward is unfavorable for an impatient long-term entry. If you already own it, this setup favors trimming/exit rather than adding.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is positive and expanding (bullish momentum), but RSI_6 at 91.39 signals an overbought condition and elevated pullback risk.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest a transition phase; recent move appears momentum-driven rather than a stable uptrend.
Levels: Pivot 2.78 is the key area to hold. Price is above R1 (3.257) with next resistance near R2 (3.552). Pre-market ~3.38 sits between R1 and R2—good momentum, but limited nearby upside before resistance vs. meaningful downside back toward 2.78 if momentum fades.
Pattern-based probability: Similar-pattern stats imply modest odds of a down day next session (40% chance to -0.97% next day) while longer horizons show potential positive drift—consistent with choppy, speculative action.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Put/call open interest ratio of 0.11 is strongly call-skewed (bullish positioning). Put volume is 0 today, reinforcing one-sided bullish flow.
Risk/Volatility: Implied vol ~141.5% (HV ~142.7%), IV percentile ~77.6 and IV rank ~58.7 indicate very expensive options / high expected move—typical of speculative names and increases the chance of sharp reversals.
Liquidity/Activity: Today’s option volume is low in absolute terms (124 calls, 0 puts) but shows a large spike vs. its 30-day average (25.1x), suggesting a sudden sentiment burst rather than steady institutional accumulation.
Technical Summary
Sell
3
Buy
8
Positive Catalysts
on 2026-02-10 after hours can act as a volatility catalyst.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Technically overheated: RSI ~91 increases the odds of a near-term pullback from current levels.
No news in the past week—momentum lacks a clear fundamental catalyst.
Microcap profile (market cap ~$105.5M) + extremely high volatility (IV/HV ~140%+) makes it unsuitable for a beginner long-term portfolio entry.
Fundamentals: revenue is extremely low and declining; margins are deeply negative.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $11K, down 50% YoY (weak/declining top line).
Net income: -$5.57M, improved 21.28% YoY but still a sizable loss.
EPS: -$0.18, improved 5.88% YoY but remains negative.
Gross margin: deeply negative (reported -1063.64%), indicating unfavorable unit economics/expense structure at current scale.
Overall: financials show loss reduction but no meaningful, durable growth trend yet—this does not support a confident long-term buy at this moment.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating or price-target change data was provided, so a clear recent Wall Street trend cannot be confirmed.
Pros (typical bull case): niche semiconductor materials/IP optionality; small-cap upside if commercialization lands.
Cons (typical bear case): minimal revenue base, ongoing losses, and high volatility make valuation/trajectory hard to underwrite for long-term investors.
Influential/political activity: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are neutral with no significant recent trends.
Wall Street analysts forecast ATOM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATOM is 5 USD with a low forecast of 5 USD and a high forecast of 5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ATOM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATOM is 5 USD with a low forecast of 5 USD and a high forecast of 5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
