Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: trend is decisively bearish and options positioning is defensive.
Oversold RSI suggests a bounce is possible, but there is no confirmed reversal signal and key resistance sits above (pivot ~22.04).
Near-term catalyst risk: earnings on 2026-02-19 (pre-market) could move the stock, but current positioning/technicals don’t favor a clean, high-confidence entry today.
Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.185 and negatively expanding, confirming weakening momentum.
Mean-reversion condition: RSI_6 at 18.263 (oversold) increases odds of a short-term bounce, but oversold alone is not a buy trigger without confirmation.
Levels: Pre-market ~20.76 is below S1 (20.988) and near S2 (20.338). A break below ~20.34 would be further bearish; first meaningful reclaim level is pivot ~22.04, then R1 ~23.09.
Pattern-based expectation: Similar-pattern stats imply modest next-day upside (~+0.89%), slight 1-week drift down (-0.47%), but stronger 1-month upside (+11.94%)—suggesting a potential oversold rebound window, not a confirmed trend turn.
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/skew: Put open interest (746) exceeds call open interest (462) and put/call ratios are >1, indicating more hedging/defensive sentiment than bullish speculation.
Volatility: 30D IV ~56.93 vs historical vol ~31.2; IV percentile ~78.49 implies options are relatively expensive, consistent with elevated event/uncertainty pricing.
Activity: Very low absolute volume (7 contracts) despite high vs avg flag, so sentiment read is directionally bearish but not strongly confirmed by deep liquidity.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
4
Positive Catalysts
can fuel a fast mean-reversion bounce if selling pressure eases.
Options market is tilted defensive (put/call > 1 on both OI and volume), which often aligns with cautious-to-bearish sentiment.
No supportive news flow in the past week; no visible positive event-driven narrative to reverse sentiment ahead of earnings.
If price fails to hold S2 (~20.338), downside can accelerate before any sustainable rebound develops.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 248,431,579.31, up +0.27% YoY (very modest growth).
Net income: 58,598,809.63, down -1.41% YoY (profitability weakening).
EPS: 0.12, essentially flat YoY.
Gross margin: 63.67, down -17.34% YoY (notable margin compression, a key negative trend).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so a recent upgrade/downgrade trend cannot be confirmed from this dataset.
Wall Street-style pros (based on provided fundamentals): stable revenue base and potential earnings catalyst (2026-02-19).
Wall Street-style cons (based on provided fundamentals/technicals): margin compression and slight net income decline, plus a clearly bearish price trend—typically argues against chasing an entry before a reversal is evident.
Influential/political flows: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are reported Neutral with no significant recent trend.
Wall Street analysts forecast ATHM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATHM is 28.5 USD with a low forecast of 28 USD and a high forecast of 29 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ATHM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATHM is 28.5 USD with a low forecast of 28 USD and a high forecast of 29 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 20.670
Low
28
Averages
28.5
High
29
Current: 20.670
Low
28
Averages
28.5
High
29
JPMorgan
Overweight -> Neutral
downgrade
$28
AI Analysis
2025-10-29
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$28
AI Analysis
2025-10-29
downgrade
Overweight -> Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan downgraded Autohome to Neutral from Overweight with a $28 price target.
JPMorgan
Alex Yao
Overweight -> Neutral
downgrade
$31 -> $28
2025-10-29
Reason
JPMorgan
Alex Yao
Price Target
$31 -> $28
2025-10-29
downgrade
Overweight -> Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Alex Yao downgraded Autohome to Neutral from Overweight with a price target of $28, down from $31. The firm sees the company's "lackluster" media services and lead generation revenue outlook, as well as its investments into its new O2O business, to drive another round of estimate cuts. The positive impact of China's anti-involution policies on the auto sector has fallen short of expectations, the analyst tells investors in a research note. In addition, JPMorgan believes nationwide subsidies for electric vehicle purchases are likely to be scaled back in 2026.
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