ASPN Relative Valuation
ASPN's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ASPN is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.00 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 14.36. The fair price of Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) is between NaN to NaN according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
NaN-NaN
Current Price：3.71
Fair
-7.29
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
-48.75
EV/EBITDA
Aspen Aerogels Inc. (ASPN) has a current EV/EBITDA of -48.75. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -15.32. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -98.34, Undervalued between -98.34 and -56.83, Fairly Valued between 26.19 and -56.83, Overvalued between 26.19 and 67.70, and Strongly Overvalued above 67.70. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -48.75 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-6.58
EV/EBIT
Aspen Aerogels Inc. (ASPN) has a current EV/EBIT of -6.58. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 1.24. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -69.69, Undervalued between -69.69 and -34.22, Fairly Valued between 36.71 and -34.22, Overvalued between 36.71 and 72.18, and Strongly Overvalued above 72.18. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -6.58 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
1.38
PS
Aspen Aerogels Inc. (ASPN) has a current PS of 1.38. The 5-year average PS is 3.94. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.88, Undervalued between -1.88 and 1.03, Fairly Valued between 6.86 and 1.03, Overvalued between 6.86 and 9.77, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.77. The current Forward PS of 1.38 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-28.16
P/OCF
Aspen Aerogels Inc. (ASPN) has a current P/OCF of -28.16. The 5-year average P/OCF is -9.53. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -83.72, Undervalued between -83.72 and -46.63, Fairly Valued between 27.57 and -46.63, Overvalued between 27.57 and 64.67, and Strongly Overvalued above 64.67. The current Forward P/OCF of -28.16 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-15.75
P/FCF
Aspen Aerogels Inc. (ASPN) has a current P/FCF of -15.75. The 5-year average P/FCF is -1.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -100.75, Undervalued between -100.75 and -51.07, Fairly Valued between 48.29 and -51.07, Overvalued between 48.29 and 97.98, and Strongly Overvalued above 97.98. The current Forward P/FCF of -15.75 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.94. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.04 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -53.84% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 4.10, the current P/B ratio is about -77.07% higher. Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -23.20%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -17.76% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
0.98
P/B
Median3y
2.04
Median5y
4.10
0.93
FCF Yield
Median3y
-23.20
Median5y
-17.76
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for ASPN's competitors is 0.00, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Aspen Aerogels Inc Corp (ASPN) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -37.77%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of ASPN decreased by 69.44% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from -1.08 to -0.97.
The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -21.54%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of ASPN in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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FAQ
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