Should I Buy AROC? AROC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Archrock Inc (AROC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

29.170

1 Day change

2.82%

52 Week Range

30.190

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to act immediately. AROC is in a strong uptrend, but it is currently overbought (RSI_6 ~86) and trading near resistance, with no Intellectia buy signal today and short-term pattern odds skewing to near-term downside. I would rate it a HOLD today and only turn bullish on a better entry after a pullback toward the ~$27.1 pivot/support area.

Technical Analysis

Trend is bullish: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 and MACD histogram is positive and expanding (0.214), confirming upward momentum. However, RSI_6 at ~86 indicates an overheated/overbought condition, which often precedes consolidation or a pullback. Key levels: Pivot/support ~27.13 (S1 ~25.95). Resistance is close overhead at R1 ~28.30 and R2 ~29.02; pre-market is ~28.6, meaning price is already above R1 and approaching R2—an unfavorable spot for a fresh long-term entry today. Pattern-based projection also leans negative near term (estimated -0.82% next day, -1.41% next week, -4.2% next month).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options positioning is strongly call-skewed (OI P/C 0.13; Volume P/C 0.15), which signals bullish sentiment/expectations. Implied volatility (~40.45) is above historical (~34.73), suggesting the market is pricing more movement than usual. However, today’s options volume (85) is well below the 5D/10D averages (382/272), so the bullish skew reflects positioning more than a major surge in new activity today.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

1) Strong operating/earnings momentum (see Q3 2025 results) supports a longer-term bullish thesis.
2) Capital structure action: Archrock Services, L.P. issued $800M 6.0% senior notes to repay part of the revolver and optimize financing—can improve liquidity/runway and reduce reliance on floating-rate bank debt.
3) Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-23 (pre-market); if results/guide beat, the uptrend can extend.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

1) Technical overheating: RSI in the mid-80s and price near/above resistance increases near-term pullback risk.
2) No Intellectia proprietary buy signal today (no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax entry), reducing conviction for an immediate buy.
3) The $800M 6.0% notes add fixed interest obligations; if growth slows or rates/credit spreads move against the company, sentiment could soften.
4) Short-term pattern odds suggest a mild-to-moderate drift lower over the next week to month.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue grew to $382.43M (+30.90% YoY). Net income rose to $70.704M (+90.65% YoY). EPS increased to $0.40 (+81.82% YoY). Gross margin improved to 48.5% (+9.36% YoY). Overall, this is strong growth with improving profitability, supportive for long-term investors—just not ideal to chase at an overbought technical level today.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a concrete trend read (upgrades/downgrades or target revisions) cannot be confirmed here. Wall Street-style pros (based on provided fundamentals): accelerating revenue/EPS growth and improving margins. Cons: shares appear extended technically, and recent debt issuance can raise fixed financing costs. Political/congress trading check: no recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are reported as Neutral with no significant recent trend.

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AROC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AROC is 32 USD with a low forecast of 30 USD and a high forecast of 35 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

4 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 28.370

Low

Averages

High

Current: 28.370

Low

Averages

High

Wells Fargo

Overweight

initiated

$30

AI Analysis

2025-09-03

Reason

Wells Fargo

Price Target

$30

AI Analysis

2025-09-03

initiated

Overweight

Reason

Wells Fargo initiated coverage of Archrock with an Overweight rating and $30 price target. The firm says Archrock is a play on growing U.S. gas supply given its \"leading position\" in contract compression. The company is positioned to benefit from growing U.S. gas supply driven by liquified natural gas, rising artificial intelligence datacenter power demand, and onshoring of manufacturing, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Mizuho

Gabriel Moreen

Outperform

maintain

$31 -> $32

2025-08-29

Reason

Mizuho

Gabriel Moreen

Price Target

$31 -> $32

2025-08-29

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Mizuho analyst Gabriel Moreen raised the firm's price target on Archrock to $32 from $31 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm adjusted models in the master limited partnerships and midstream group post the Q2 reports.

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AROC Should I Buy

AROC Should I Buy

Should You Buy Archrock Inc (AROC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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