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The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with increased revenue, net income, and cash position. Despite some operational and financial risks, the company is on track with its expansion projects. The positive financial results, along with optimistic production guidance, outweigh the concerns. The Q&A section did not reveal significant negative sentiment, and the company's strategic initiatives suggest a positive outlook for the stock over the next two weeks.
Net Income Q4 2024 $22 million, compared to a net loss of $2.1 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to increased income from mining operations and gains on financial instruments.
EBITDA Q4 2024 $67 million, reflecting strong operational performance and cost control.
Gold Revenue Q4 2024 $148 million, up 13% from Q3 2024, driven by a higher realized gold price of $2,642 per ounce and increased sales volumes.
Income from Mining Operations Q4 2024 $54 million, a 42% increase quarter-over-quarter, supported by revenue growth and cost control.
Adjusted Earnings Q4 2024 $24.7 million or $0.14 per share, compared to $13.1 million or $0.08 per share in Q3 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA Q4 2024 $55.6 million, a 29% increase quarter-over-quarter, reflecting the increase in adjusted net earnings.
All-in Sustaining Costs Q4 2024 $1,485 per ounce, a 4% reduction compared to Q3 2024, despite an 8% higher realized gold cost.
AISC Margin Q4 2024 $58 million, a 32% increase from $44 million in Q3 2024, supported by higher production and gold prices.
Cash Balance Year-End 2024 $253 million, up from $195 million at the end of 2023, due to strong cash flow generation and refinancing activities.
Gold Revenue Full Year 2024 $499 million, contributing to a strong financial performance.
Adjusted Sustaining Margin Full Year 2024 $66 million, supporting the funding of growth projects.
Cash Inflow Q4 2024 $164 million, including $136 million from refinancing bonds and $40 million from a precious metals stream.
AISC Margin Full Year 2024 $154 million, reflecting operational efficiencies and strong gold prices.
Expansion of Segovia Processing Facility: The Segovia processing facility is set to expand from 2,000 tonnes per day to 3,000 tonnes per day, targeting annual production of 210,000 to 250,000 ounces in 2025 and 300,000 ounces from 2026 onwards.
Marmato Expansion: Plans to upgrade the carbon-in-pulp processing facility at Marmato by 25% to 5,000 tonnes per day, increasing annual production potential to over 200,000 ounces.
Production and Cost Efficiency: Achieved highest production in Q4 2024 with 57,364 ounces and reduced all-in sustaining costs to $1,485 per ounce.
Cash Flow Generation: Year-end cash balance of $253 million, supported by strong cash flow generation and refinancing of senior notes.
Growth Strategy: Targeting an annual gold production rate of more than 500,000 ounces once expansions are fully ramped up.
Competitive Pressures: The company faces challenges in forecasting costs for the Contract Mining Partners (CMP) segment due to rising gold prices, which can impact the cost of purchasing mill feed.
Regulatory Issues: No specific regulatory issues were mentioned, but the mining industry typically faces ongoing regulatory scrutiny that could impact operations.
Supply Chain Challenges: The expansion projects at Segovia and Marmato may face supply chain challenges, particularly in sourcing materials and equipment necessary for construction and upgrades.
Economic Factors: The company is influenced by fluctuations in gold prices, which affect revenue and cost structures, particularly for the CMP segment.
Financial Risks: The estimated cost to complete the Marmato Lower Mine expansion has increased to $365 million, which is $85 million over the previous plan, potentially impacting financial projections.
Operational Risks: The ramp-up of production at Segovia and Marmato is contingent on successful completion of expansion projects, which carries inherent operational risks.
Segovia Processing Facility Expansion: Expected commissioning in Q2 2025, ramping up from 2,000 to 3,000 tonnes per day, targeting annual production of 210,000 to 250,000 ounces in 2025 and 300,000 ounces from 2026 onwards.
Marmato Expansion: Plans to upgrade the carbon-in-pulp processing facility by 25% to 5,000 tonnes per day, aiming for annual production potential of over 200,000 ounces.
Growth Strategy: Targeting an annual production rate of more than 500,000 ounces once expansions are fully ramped up.
2025 Gold Production Guidance: Expected consolidated gold production of 230,000 to 275,000 ounces, with Segovia operations contributing 210,000 to 250,000 ounces.
Segovia AISC Margin Guidance: Anticipated all-in sustaining cost margin of more than $230 million in 2025, compared to $163 million in 2024.
Owner Mining AISC Guidance: Expected to range between $1,450 to $1,600 per ounce.
CMP Segment AISC Margin Guidance: Expected sales margin of 35% to 40%.
Marmato Upper Mine Production Guidance: Expected to produce a similar level of 23,000 ounces in 2025.
Cash Position: Year-end cash balance of $253 million, with $82 million still to be funded by Wheaton under the Marmato stream.
Cash Balance: Aris Mining ended the year with a cash balance of $253 million, up from $195 million at the end of 2023.
Expansion Funding: The company generated $157 million for growth projects, including $83 million at Marmato and $65 million at Segovia.
Cash Inflow from Financing Activities: In the fourth quarter, financing activities generated a cash inflow of $164 million, including $136 million from refinancing bonds.
Adjusted Earnings: For the full year 2024, adjusted earnings were $55.9 million or $0.35 per share.
All-in Sustaining Cost Margin: The all-in sustaining cost margin for Segovia operations reached $163 million for the full year 2024.
Future Production Guidance: Aris Mining targets an annual production rate of more than 500,000 ounces once expansions are fully ramped up.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record high net adjusted earnings and gold revenue, coupled with promising future production guidance. The company is on track with strategic expansions, despite some development challenges. The Q&A indicates confidence in meeting production targets, although some uncertainties remain. Overall, the positive financial metrics and optimistic guidance suggest a likely positive stock price movement.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record EPS and revenue growth. The company is on track with expansion projects, and guidance suggests significant production increases. While there are risks such as regulatory issues and cost overruns, the positive financial metrics and strategic plans outweigh these concerns. The Q&A section did not reveal major negative sentiment from analysts. The sentiment rating is adjusted to 'Positive' due to the strong earnings, optimistic guidance, and potential for increased cash inflow from warrant exercises.
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with increased revenue, net income, and cash position. Despite some operational and financial risks, the company is on track with its expansion projects. The positive financial results, along with optimistic production guidance, outweigh the concerns. The Q&A section did not reveal significant negative sentiment, and the company's strategic initiatives suggest a positive outlook for the stock over the next two weeks.
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with a significant increase in net income, EBITDA, and gold revenue. Despite the absence of specific guidance for next year's capital expenditure, the company's expansion plans and strong cash position are positive indicators. The anticipated AISC margin and production targets for 2025 further support a positive outlook. While risks like competitive pressures and supply chain challenges exist, the overall sentiment leans positive due to strong earnings, optimistic guidance, and robust financial health.
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