Should I Buy ARL? ARL 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy American Realty Investors Inc (ARL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

17.230

1 Day change

-3.53%

52 Week Range

18.550

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

ARL is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k. The chart is bullish short-term, but the latest quarter (2025/Q3) shows a sharp deterioration in profitability (net income and EPS down ~100% YoY). With no supportive news/analyst upgrades and earnings coming on 2026-02-05, the risk/reward is not attractive enough to buy immediately at the current pre-market level (~17.1).

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: Bullish bias near-term. Moving averages are stacked bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and MACD histogram is positive and expanding (0.0933), supporting an ongoing upswing. RSI: RSI(6) at ~65.3 is still neutral-to-warm (not an extreme), suggesting momentum is positive but not a clear “oversold bargain.” Levels: Pivot 16.623. Pre-market ~17.1 is just below R1 (17.177), meaning price is pressing into nearby resistance rather than sitting at an easy buy zone. Supports are S1 16.069 and S2 15.727. Pattern-based forward look: Similar-pattern stats imply moderate upside bias (about +0.87% next day, +6.65% next week, +8.92% next month), but that’s not strong enough to outweigh the fundamental profit drop for a long-term beginner. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

- Technical setup is constructive (bullish MA stack + positive/expanding MACD).
- Revenue grew in 2025/Q3 (+10.58% YoY) and gross margin improved (41.18%, +3.49% YoY).
- Upcoming earnings on 2026-02-05 (after hours) could act as a catalyst if profitability rebounds.
- Trading trends show no meaningful hedge-fund or insider selling pressure recently (both neutral).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

rather than near support, reducing immediate upside room.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue increased to $12.835M (+10.58% YoY), and gross margin improved to 41.18% (+3.49% YoY). However, net income dropped to about $0.129M (-100.74% YoY) and EPS fell to $0.01 (-100.93% YoY). The top-line and margin improved, but the collapse in bottom-line earnings indicates weakening overall earnings quality and makes this less suitable for a beginner long-term buy right now.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided. Wall Street pros/cons view cannot be meaningfully assessed from the dataset; absence of coverage/updates provides no positive external validation to offset the weak profit trend.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast ARL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARL is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 17.860

Low

Averages

High