Should You Buy Arbe Robotics Ltd (ARBE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
1.300
1 Day change
-4.41%
52 Week Range
3.200
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a Beginner long-term investor. ARBE is coming off a dilutive share offering priced at $1.40 (near the current ~$1.49 pre-market), which typically caps upside in the near term and increases supply. The business is still very early (tiny revenue base, large losses, negative gross margin), and there are no Intellectia proprietary buy signals today to justify an impatient entry. Recommendation: hold off (stay on the sidelines) until the post-offering price stabilizes and fundamentals improve.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Technical Analysis
Pre-market ~$1.49 (+2.76%). Momentum is mildly constructive but not a clear breakout: MACD histogram is above 0 (0.0392) but positively contracting (momentum improving but slowing). RSI(6) ~52.9 is neutral. Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation rather than a strong trend.
Key levels: Pivot ~1.474 (price is just above pivot), resistance R1 ~1.789 then R2 ~1.984; support S1 ~1.159 then S2 ~0.964. With the recent financing at $1.40, the $1.40–$1.50 zone is a critical battleground; a break below pivot increases odds of retesting S1.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options positioning is strongly call-skewed (very low put/call ratios), which usually signals bullish sentiment/speculation. However, volatility is extremely high (30D IV ~137.7% vs HV ~106.45%), implying the market is pricing large moves and elevated uncertainty. Today’s option volume is below the 30-day average (~73.5%), so the bullish skew is more “positioning” than a fresh surge in activity.
Technical Summary
Sell
8
Buy
3
Positive Catalysts
Recent analyst initiation: WestPark started coverage with a Buy and $3.50 target, citing Arbe as a 4D radar leader tied to autonomy trends.
The equity raise increases cash runway (gross proceeds ~ $16.1M), which can help fund development and commercialization.
Call-heavy options skew suggests traders are leaning bullish.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Dilution/overhang: underwritten offering at $1.40 with additional overallotment option; this typically pressures the stock near the offering price and can limit near-term upside.
News flow indicates a sharp selloff after the offering announcement (event-driven negative sentiment).
Fundamentals are still weak: large losses and notably negative gross margin, implying commercialization and cost structure remain problematic.
No supportive signals from Intellectia modules today (no strong “must-buy-now” trigger for an impatient entry).
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue increased to ~$0.254M (+106.5% YoY), but from a very small base. Net income was -$11.035M (loss widened by ~12.24% YoY), EPS -$0.10 (down ~37.5% YoY), and gross margin was deeply negative (-95.67), indicating the core economics are not yet working at scale. Overall: top-line growth exists, but profitability/quality of revenue is not improving yet.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Analyst trend is newly positive but limited in breadth: on 2026-01-08, WestPark initiated coverage with a Buy and a $3.50 price target. Wall Street pro view (based on what’s provided):
Pros: strong thematic tailwind (autonomy/ADAS), differentiated 4D radar narrative, and upside implied by the $3.50 target vs ~$1.5.
Cons: dilution risk just materialized, execution risk is high, and current financials (negative gross margin, large losses) make it unsuitable as a straightforward beginner-friendly long-term buy today.
Wall Street analysts forecast ARBE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARBE is 2.42 USD with a low forecast of 1.75 USD and a high forecast of 3.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ARBE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARBE is 2.42 USD with a low forecast of 1.75 USD and a high forecast of 3.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1.360
Low
1.75
Averages
2.42
High
3.5
Current: 1.360
Low
1.75
Averages
2.42
High
3.5
WestPark Capital
Casey Ryan
Buy
initiated
$3.50
AI Analysis
2026-01-08
Reason
WestPark Capital
Casey Ryan
Price Target
$3.50
AI Analysis
2026-01-08
initiated
Buy
Reason
WestPark Capital analyst Casey Ryan initiated coverage of Arbe Robotics with a Buy rating and $3.50 price target. The firm says Arbe is a 4D radar leader that is enabling global autonomy trends.
Roth Capital
Suji Desilva
Buy
downgrade
$3 -> $2
2025-08-07
Reason
Roth Capital
Suji Desilva
Price Target
$3 -> $2
2025-08-07
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Suji Desilva lowered the firm's price target on Arbe Robotics to $2 from $3 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after its Q2 result. The firm expects Arbe to gain additional customer traction with its advanced radar products as automotive OEMs move forward with ADAS functionality in newer platform launches, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Following its recent funding activity, Arbe Robotics is funded to execute its near-term operating plan, Roth added.
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