Should I Buy APTV? APTV 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Aptiv PLC (APTV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

78.830

1 Day change

1.31%

52 Week Range

88.930

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

APTV is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who’s impatient. The stock is trading below its key pivot (81.6) and is sitting just above support (76.65) with still-bearish momentum. While Wall Street sentiment has improved (multiple upgrades/raised targets) and options positioning looks moderately bullish, the latest reported quarter shows revenue growth but a sharp deterioration to a net loss, and the near-term price/technical setup is weak heading into earnings (2026-02-02 pre-market).

Technical Analysis

Pre-market price is ~77.69, below the pivot at 81.6, indicating the stock is currently in a weaker technical zone. Momentum is still bearish: MACD histogram is negative (-0.781) but contracting (selling pressure easing, not yet reversed). RSI(6) at ~42.7 is neutral-to-weak, consistent with a soft trend rather than an oversold bounce signal. Moving averages are converging, suggesting consolidation after weakness rather than a confirmed uptrend. Key levels: support S1=76.653 (near current price; a break would expose S2=73.597). Resistance levels are R1=86.547 and R2=89.603; reclaiming the pivot (81.6) would be an early improvement. Pattern-based projection provided also skews negative (next week/month expected weakness), reinforcing that this is not an attractive “buy now” setup.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options positioning leans bullish (both open interest and volume put/call ratios are below 1, indicating more call activity than puts). Notable activity: today’s option volume is ~203% of the 30-day average, showing heightened interest. Implied volatility is elevated (30D IV ~40.25 vs historical vol ~28.06; IV percentile ~70), meaning the market is pricing a bigger-than-usual move. Net: sentiment tilts constructive, but the elevated IV also signals meaningful event risk/uncertainty (with earnings approaching).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

1) Improving sell-side stance: multiple upgrades/target raises into early 2026 (e.g., Piper upgrade to Overweight with $103 PT; Oppenheimer raised to $102; Evercore $100; TD Cowen $107).
2) Strategic/tech narrative: commentary highlights innovation and longer-term commercialization pathways (e.g., autonomy-related applications) and potential re-rating tied to business mix changes (incl. EDS separation theme mentioned by Oppenheimer).
3) Margins: gross margin improved YoY in the latest reported quarter.
4) Earnings catalyst ahead: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-02 (pre-market) could reset expectations if execution is strong.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

1) Weak near-term technicals: price below pivot (81.6) with bearish MACD; sitting just above support (76.65) increases downside risk if support fails.
2) Short-term probability skew from provided pattern analysis suggests a negative bias over the next week/month.
3) Fundamentals (latest quarter): despite revenue growth, profitability deteriorated sharply to a net loss and negative EPS, which can cap multiple expansion until clarity improves.
4) Sector backdrop caution: sell-side notes an “EV winter” persisting into 2026 (Morgan Stanley), which can pressure auto suppliers’ growth expectations.
5) No supportive event flow in the past week (no news catalysts reported).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to $5.212B (+7.38% YoY), and gross margin improved to 18.53 (+5.83% YoY). However, net income fell to -$355M (-197.80% YoY) and EPS dropped to -1.63 (-210.14% YoY), indicating earnings quality/profitability weakened materially despite top-line growth. For a long-term thesis, the key question is whether margin improvements and expected 2026 initiatives translate into sustained profitability recovery.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend is clearly improving: multiple firms upgraded or reiterated bullish stances and raised price targets (Piper upgraded to Overweight with PT $103; Oppenheimer raised PT to $102 and maintained Outperform; Evercore raised PT to $100 with Outperform; TD Cowen maintained Buy and raised PT to $107; Wells remained Overweight though trimmed PT to $100; Morgan Stanley moved up to Equal Weight with PT $84). Wall Street pros: attractive valuation vs perceived long-term tech/content opportunity, improved credibility of targets, and potential re-rating catalysts (portfolio shift/EDS separation narrative). Cons: near-term industry headwinds and uncertainty around production/supply chain/mix, plus profitability volatility as seen in the latest quarter. Trading/positioning from provided data: hedge funds and insiders are Neutral; no recent Congress trading data; no influential-figure trading flagged.

10 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast APTV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APTV is 99.2 USD with a low forecast of 84 USD and a high forecast of 107 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

8 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 77.810

Low

Averages

99.2

High

107

Current: 77.810

Low

Averages

99.2

High

107

Oppenheimer

Colin Rusch

Outperform

maintain

$94 -> $102

AI Analysis

2026-01-21

Reason

Oppenheimer

Colin Rusch

Price Target

$94 -> $102

AI Analysis

2026-01-21

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Oppenheimer analyst Colin Rusch raised the firm's price target on Aptiv to $102 from $94 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Coming out of CES, the firm is seeing significant innovation on synthetic data generation and training techniques along with sensor acuity and leverage from advantaged energy storage technologies. Oppenheimer believes the combination of the elements noted above are crystallizing into applications that are gaining initial commercial traction en route to broader scale-up including autonomous vehicles, Autonomous Mobile Robots, drones, as well as end-to-end system in end-markets like distribution and warehouses. The firm sees 2026 as setting up to be a year of technical and commercial validation in many of these end-markets, which it thinks will be followed by accelerated product cycles and scaling.

Piper Sandler

Neutral -> Overweight

upgrade

$87 -> $103

2026-01-08

Reason

Piper Sandler

Price Target

$87 -> $103

2026-01-08

upgrade

Neutral -> Overweight

Reason

Piper Sandler upgraded Aptiv to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $103, up from $87. The firm names Aptiv its top auto supplier idea for 2026. The company has "more realistic growth targets and a more believable value proposition," the analyst tells investors in a research note. Piper views the shares as attractively priced at current levels.

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APTV Should I Buy

APTV Should I Buy

Should You Buy Aptiv PLC (APTV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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