Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant EBITDA growth, increased operating and net profits, and a robust free cash flow. The company's focus on reducing debt and returning value to shareholders through buybacks and dividends is promising. Although there are concerns about regulatory complexities in Chile and unclear responses on nonoperating expenses, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong revenue growth, particularly in mobile services, and a sustainable broadband increase in Mexico. The positive outlook on market consolidation in Latin America further supports a positive sentiment.
Wireless Subscribers Added 2.5 million in the quarter, with 2.8 million postpaid net gains and 298,000 prepaid losses. Ended December with 331 million wireless subscribers. Postpaid base increased by 8.4% year-on-year, driven by growth in Brazil, Colombia, Peru, and Mexico.
Fixed Line Segment Connected 524,000 broadband accesses, with notable contributions from Mexico (84,000), Brazil (113,000), Argentina (57,000), and Colombia (49,000). PayTV added 77,000 units, while 79,000 voice lines were disconnected. Total access lines exceeded 410 million.
Revenue Fourth quarter revenue rose 3.4% in Mexican peso terms year-over-year to MXN 245 billion, up 6.2% at constant exchange rates. Service revenue expanded 5.3%. The growth was influenced by the 9.6% appreciation of the Mexican peso versus the U.S. dollar and the incorporation of the Chilean operation from November 2024.
EBITDA Increased by 4.2% in Mexican peso terms to MXN 95 billion, up 6.9% at constant exchange rates. Growth was driven by greater operating leverage and strong mobile service revenue growth of 6.2%, supported by a 7.6% increase in postpaid revenue.
Fixed Line Service Revenue Increased by 3.6% year-over-year, with fixed broadband revenue growing by 6.4%. Mexico showed strong performance, with broadband revenue growth rising from 2% to 4%.
Operating Profit Totaled MXN 49 billion, up 5.9% in nominal terms and 8.3% at constant exchange rates.
Net Profit Achieved MXN 19 billion in the quarter, 4 times larger than the previous year. Equivalent to MXN 0.32 per share or $0.35 per ADR. Growth was supported by reduced comprehensive financing costs.
Operating Cash Flow For 2025, reached MXN 213 billion after deducting increases in working capital and interest payments. Free cash flow was MXN 82 billion, representing a nearly 40% year-over-year increase.
Shareholder Distributions and Debt Shareholder distributions totaled MXN 45 billion, including MXN 12 billion in share buybacks. Net debt was reduced by MXN 20 billion, with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.52x, showing a downward trend.
Wireless Subscribers: Added 2.5 million wireless subscribers in the quarter, with 2.8 million postpaid net gains and 298,000 prepaid losses. Postpaid base grew 8.4% year-on-year.
Fixed Line Segment: Connected 524,000 broadband accesses, with notable contributions from Mexico (84,000), Brazil (113,000), Argentina (57,000), and Colombia (49,000). PayTV added 77,000 units.
Regional Currency Impact: The dollar depreciated against most regional currencies, except the Brazilian real and Argentinian peso. This impacted revenue growth in nominal terms.
Chilean Operations: Incorporation of Chilean operations from November 2024 affected revenue growth rates.
Revenue Growth: Fourth quarter revenue rose 3.4% in Mexican peso terms to MXN 245 billion, up 6.2% at constant exchange rates. Service revenue expanded 5.3%.
EBITDA Growth: EBITDA increased 4.2% in Mexican peso terms to MXN 95 billion, up 6.9% at constant exchange rates. Operating profit totaled MXN 49 billion, up 5.9% nominally.
Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow for 2025 was MXN 82 billion, a 40% year-on-year increase. Shareholder distributions reached MXN 45 billion, including MXN 12 billion in share buybacks.
Debt Reduction: Net debt reduced by MXN 20 billion, with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.52x, showing a downward trend.
Economic Uncertainty in the U.S.: The U.S. government shutdown during the fourth quarter created uncertainty about economic activity, impacting employment and delaying the release of economic indicators. This could affect the company's operations in the U.S. market.
Currency Volatility: The depreciation of the U.S. dollar against regional currencies, except for the Brazilian real and Argentinian peso, could impact financial results and operational costs in various markets.
Prepaid Subscriber Losses: Significant prepaid subscriber losses were reported in Brazil (381,000) and Chile (315,000), which could affect revenue from these markets.
Fixed Line Disconnections: The company disconnected 79,000 voice landlines, which may indicate challenges in maintaining fixed-line services.
Chilean Operations Impact: The incorporation of Chilean operations led to an apparent deceleration in service revenue growth, which could affect overall financial performance.
Revenue Growth: Revenue is expected to grow at a constant exchange rate, with service revenue expanding by 5.3%.
Mobile Service Revenue: Mobile service revenue growth is projected to remain strong, supported by postpaid revenue growth of 7.6%.
Fixed Line Service Revenue: Fixed line service revenue is expected to grow by 3.6% year-over-year, with fixed broadband revenue increasing by 6.4%.
Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow is projected to continue its upward trend, following a nearly 40% year-on-year increase in 2025.
Net Debt to EBITDA Ratio: The net debt to EBITDA after leases ratio is on a downward trend, currently at 1.52x.
Shareholder distributions: MXN 45 billion, including MXN 12 billion in share buybacks.
Share buybacks: MXN 12 billion in share buybacks as part of the shareholder distributions.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant EBITDA growth, increased operating and net profits, and a robust free cash flow. The company's focus on reducing debt and returning value to shareholders through buybacks and dividends is promising. Although there are concerns about regulatory complexities in Chile and unclear responses on nonoperating expenses, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong revenue growth, particularly in mobile services, and a sustainable broadband increase in Mexico. The positive outlook on market consolidation in Latin America further supports a positive sentiment.
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance, with revenue, EBITDA, and net income growth. Mobile platform service revenue is up, and net debt is reduced. The Q&A reveals positive sentiment about mobile prepaid revenues and margin expansion in key regions. Potential acquisitions are in early stages but could offer strategic benefits. The competitive environment is manageable, with the company leveraging its strengths. While some uncertainties exist, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a potential stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance, with subscriber and revenue growth, and increased EBITDA. The Q&A section reveals positive drivers in Brazil and Mexico, regulatory changes viewed positively, and a strong network and commercial strategy. Despite some unclear responses, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance. The company's strategic focus on network quality and customer care supports a positive outlook, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call shows mixed signals. Positive revenue growth and share buybacks are offset by economic slowdown, prepaid losses, and regulatory uncertainty. The Q&A reveals management's optimism about recovery and strategic focus but lacks clarity on some issues. Despite strong financials, concerns over regulatory changes and economic conditions in Mexico temper expectations. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to remain stable in the short term, leading to a neutral rating.
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