AMTB Stock Price Prediction

Amerant Bancorp Inc

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17.550

+0.690(+4.090%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Amerant Bancorp Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AMTB has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

AMTB stock price ended at $17.55 on Friday, after rising 4.09%

The Amerant Bancorp Inc stock price increased by 4.09% on the last trading day (02 May 2025), rising from 17.08 to 17.55. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.00% , ranging from a day low of $17.02 to a day high of 17.7. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -5.70% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -14.95K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 253.14K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 4.43M.

AMTB Technical Signals

AMTB(Amerant Bancorp Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-30. The total price change during this trend is +3.80%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of AMTB over the last 5 trading days is 3.35M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

AMTB Moving Average Analysis

Amerant Bancorp Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 3, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $20.369686666666666, and $21.855666666666668. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $15.561646666666666, and $14.075666666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

AMTB Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Amerant Bancorp Inc(AMTB) as of 01 May 2025 is 13.06%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 16.84 to 16.86. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Moving Average

Price crosses above 5-day SMA

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-2.179

Bearish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-1.13

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.835

Bearish

AMTB Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Amerant Bancorp Inc(AMTB), our algorithm predicts AMTB's 1-month price at $16.40, with an -2.46%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.53%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Amerant Bancorp Inc (AMTB.N) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a -2.46% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ORLY.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.53%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

AMTB

Future prediction

Up: -2.46%

ORLY

Down: -2.46%Similarity: 97.53%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

ORLY.O

97.53%

-2.46%

MAYS.O

97.22%

-3.91%

CHGG.N

96.99%

-9.56%

UNB.O

96.95%

-14.75%

QCRH.O

96.91%

+3.44%

SJM.N

96.78%

-4.81%

AVA.N

96.72%

+4.92%

COTY.N

96.70%

+1.96%

SO.N

96.67%

+5.58%

KOF.N

96.50%

-6.57%

AMTB Seasonality Analysis

Based on AMTB's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is71.43%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AMTB. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Amerant Bancorp Inc (AMTB.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while August has the lowest probability (16.67%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Amerant Bancorp Inc. (AMTB)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.