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AMSC's record revenue, strong order bookings, and strategic acquisitions indicate robust growth potential. Positive guidance, increased gross margins, and a healthy backlog further support a positive outlook. Despite risks like grid congestion and competition, the company's diverse market opportunities in wind, military, and industrial sectors, coupled with macro tailwinds, suggest a favorable short-term stock price movement.
Revenue $54.5 million for Q2 FY2024, a 60% increase year-over-year. Growth driven by the acquisition of NWL and increased shipments of new energy power systems. Wind business revenue grew 37% due to additional shipments of electrical control systems.
Gross Margin 29% for Q2 FY2024, up from 25% in the year-ago quarter. Increase attributed to higher revenues, favorable product mix, and price increases across product lines.
R&D and SG&A Expenses $13.2 million for Q2 FY2024, up from $9.6 million in the year-ago quarter. Increase due to inherited operating costs of NWL and one-time acquisition-related expenses.
Non-GAAP Net Income $9.9 million or $0.27 per share for Q2 FY2024, compared to less than $100,000 or $0.00 per share in the year-ago quarter. Improvement driven by higher revenues and operational efficiencies.
Net Income $4.9 million or $0.13 per share for Q2 FY2024, compared to a net loss of $2.5 million or $0.09 per share in the year-ago quarter. Includes a $5.1 million valuation allowance release and $2.8 million contingent consideration expense.
Cash Position $74.8 million as of Q2 FY2024, down from $95.5 million on June 30, 2024. Decrease due to $33.6 million cash consideration for the NWL acquisition. Operating cash flow was $12.7 million, exceeding guidance due to a large grid milestone payment received ahead of schedule.
Backlog 12-month backlog of over $200 million and total backlog of more than $300 million as of Q2 FY2024. Growth attributed to strong order momentum, including $60 million in new orders during the quarter.
New Energy Power Systems: Revenue driven by strong shipments and orders from industrials, renewables, utilities, semiconductors, and mining. Orders accounted for 40% from industrials, 30% from renewables, and 30% from other sectors.
Wind Business: Revenue grew nearly 40% year-over-year, driven by additional shipments of electrical control systems. Partner Inox Wind has a backlog of over 3 gigawatts of wind capacity.
Semiconductor Market: Significant investments in domestic semiconductor manufacturing driven by the CHIPS Act. Over $450 billion in private investments announced, with opportunities for AMSC's products in power delivery for semiconductor facilities.
Industrial Market: Demand driven by reshoring of domestic industrial production and upgrading of existing manufacturing facilities. NWL acquisition provides access to new industrial customers.
Revenue Growth: Achieved $54.5 million in Q2 2024 revenue, a 60% increase year-over-year. Grid business grew 65%, and wind business grew 37%.
Profitability: Reported non-GAAP net income of $9.9 million, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of positive non-GAAP net income.
Backlog: 12-month backlog of over $200 million and total backlog exceeding $300 million.
NWL Acquisition: Acquisition strengthens industrial market penetration and provides access to new customers. Total cash consideration of $33.6 million completed.
Military Business: Expanding opportunities with contracts for U.S. Navy and Canadian Navy. Delivery of first SPS system expected in 2026.
Market Conditions: Grid congestion and transmission challenges are becoming increasingly problematic, which could impact the company's ability to address these issues effectively. The company’s high-temperature superconducting wire for transmission is still a year or more away from having any financial impact.
Competitive Pressures: The company faces competition in the semiconductor and renewable energy markets, which could impact its ability to maintain or grow market share.
Regulatory Hurdles: The company is dependent on U.S. policies and government funding, such as the CHIPS Act, to drive growth in semiconductor and renewable energy markets. Changes in these policies could adversely affect the company’s growth trajectory.
Supply Chain Disruptions: The company relies on timely delivery of components and materials for its products. Any disruptions in the supply chain could delay project timelines and impact financial performance.
Economic Uncertainties: Macroeconomic factors, including potential changes in market demand for renewable energy and semiconductors, could impact the company’s revenue and profitability.
Strategic Execution Risks: The company’s ability to integrate the newly acquired NWL business and achieve the anticipated synergies is critical. Any delays or challenges in integration could impact financial performance. Additionally, the development timelines for military contracts and new products like the mine countermeasure system could pose risks if not met.
Revenue Guidance for Q3 FY2024: Expected revenues in the range of $55 million to $60 million.
Net Loss and Non-GAAP Net Income for Q3 FY2024: Net loss is expected not to exceed $1 million or $0.03 per share, and non-GAAP net income is expected to exceed $2 million or $0.05 per share.
Capital Expenditure Requirements: No significant changes to working capital demands are anticipated. Historical run rate of capital expenditures is sufficient for current operations, with potential future increases for ERP software upgrades or plant expansions, though not in the near-term plans.
Revenue Growth and Market Trends: The company expects continued growth driven by macro tailwinds in industrial reshoring, renewable energy grid resiliency, semiconductor manufacturing, and electrification of transportation. Investments in domestic mining and semiconductor manufacturing are also expected to contribute to growth.
Wind Business Growth: Inox Wind's backlog of over 3 gigawatts of wind capacity is expected to drive expanded orders for AMSC, particularly with the 3-megawatt class wind turbine.
Military Business Expansion: Revenue from the Canadian Navy contract is expected to ramp in fiscal 2025, with delivery of the first SPS system in 2026. Additional opportunities in military applications, including mine countermeasure systems, are anticipated.
Semiconductor Market Opportunities: Significant investments in domestic semiconductor manufacturing, driven by the CHIPS Act, are expected to create new growth opportunities for AMSC's products.
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The earnings call presents a positive outlook with strong non-GAAP net income growth, optimistic guidance in data centers, military, and traditional energy segments, and strategic investments like the Comtrafo acquisition. Despite management's lack of specificity on data center growth, the overall sentiment is positive, with potential for increased shareholder returns and business expansion. The Q&A session reinforces this with emphasis on growth opportunities and strategic focus, suggesting a likely positive stock price movement in the short term.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with revenue growth over 20% YoY and improved gross margins. The company is optimistic about growth opportunities in military, semiconductor, and data center markets, despite not providing specific timelines. The Q&A section reveals positive sentiment towards the company's competitive advantages and potential large order sizes. Although some uncertainty exists regarding future revenue milestones, the overall outlook remains positive, supported by strong financial metrics and strategic market positioning.
The company's earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with a notable 20% YoY revenue growth driven by grid and wind businesses. Despite a slight decrease in net income, the cash position is robust, and gross margins have improved. The Q&A section highlights optimism in military, semiconductor, and data center opportunities, though timelines remain uncertain. Overall, the combination of solid financials, strategic market positioning, and potential growth in key sectors suggests a positive sentiment, likely leading to a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
AMSC's record revenue, strong order bookings, and strategic acquisitions indicate robust growth potential. Positive guidance, increased gross margins, and a healthy backlog further support a positive outlook. Despite risks like grid congestion and competition, the company's diverse market opportunities in wind, military, and industrial sectors, coupled with macro tailwinds, suggest a favorable short-term stock price movement.
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