Should You Buy Amprius Technologies Inc (AMPX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
12.440
1 Day change
-8.39%
52 Week Range
16.030
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
BUY now (beginner, long-term). AMPX is in a bullish technical uptrend with very constructive options sentiment and a strong analyst backdrop (multiple Buy/Overweight/Outperform reiterations with raised targets). Despite weaker profitability/margins in the latest quarter, the revenue growth trajectory and customer validation narrative support a long-term position. Given you’re impatient and not waiting for a “perfect” pullback, the current pre-market level (~11.72) is an acceptable entry, though it is approaching nearby resistance around 11.88–12.58.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bullish: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 signals a strong uptrend across short/medium/long horizons. MACD histogram is positive (0.251) but contracting, suggesting bullish momentum is still present but cooling a bit. RSI(6) at ~65.7 is neutral-to-bullish (not yet a clear overbought blow-off). Price is trading above the pivot (10.744), with immediate resistance at R1 11.879 (close to current pre-market 11.72) and the next resistance at R2 12.579; supports sit at 10.744 (pivot) then 9.609 (S1). Near-term pattern-based stats imply slightly negative drift over the next week/month, but the broader moving-average structure remains decisively positive.
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Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options sentiment is strongly bullish: very low put-call ratios on both open interest (0.26) and volume (0.17) indicate traders are positioned far more on calls than puts. Call OI (145,291) dwarfs put OI (37,252). Activity is elevated (today’s volume ~5,823; today vs 30-day avg volume ~72x, and open interest vs 30-day avg ~116x), suggesting unusually high attention and positioning. Volatility is very high (30D IV ~118.9%; historical vol ~128.9%; IV percentile ~54.8), which aligns with a high-beta growth stock where sentiment can move quickly.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
Analyst support is improving and explicit: multiple firms raised price targets (to $
and Northland reiterated Outperform with a $20 target, calling it a top FY26 idea.
Demand narrative tailwinds: secular growth in drones and increasing engagement with the U.S. military; record $35M re-order cited by analysts.
Scale-up pathway: analysts highlight access to meaningful capacity (noted as 1.8GW) and continued validation of SiCore battery technology.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
No fresh news catalysts in the past week (less chance of a near-term headline-driven surge).
Latest quarter shows profitability/margins under pressure even as revenue grows (gross margin down sharply YoY; EPS and net income metrics weakened).
Price is near first resistance (~11.
and momentum (MACD histogram) is still positive but cooling; short-term pattern stats lean slightly negative for the next week/month.
Extremely high volatility profile implied by options/realized vol can create sharp swings that may be uncomfortable for beginners.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue grew strongly to $21.426M (+172.77% YoY), indicating rapid top-line expansion/traction. However, profitability metrics weakened: net income was -$3.892M (down -64.13% YoY as reported), EPS -$0.03 (down -70% YoY), and gross margin at 15.49 (reported as down -123.85% YoY), implying margin compression and that the business is still working through scaling economics despite strong sales growth.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent Wall Street trend is positive: multiple firms raised price targets in November 2025 to $16 (Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight; B. Riley Buy; Roth Buy) following a Q3 beat and improving technology/customer validation. In January 2026, Northland maintained Outperform and reiterated a higher $20 price target, naming AMPX a top investment idea for FY26. Pros highlighted by analysts: leading energy-density tech, growing re-orders/validation (including military interest), and scalable capacity enabling meaningful revenue growth. Cons (implied/market reality): execution risk in scaling and translating strong demand into improving margins and consistent profitability.
Politicians/Influential figures: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days, and no politician buy/sell signals were provided.
Institutional/insider trend snapshot: Hedge funds neutral (no major trend last quarter); insiders neutral (no major trend last month).
Wall Street analysts forecast AMPX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMPX is 17.17 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AMPX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMPX is 17.17 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 13.580
Low
16
Averages
17.17
High
20
Current: 13.580
Low
16
Averages
17.17
High
20
Needham
initiated
$20
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
New
Reason
Needham
Price Target
$20
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
New
initiated
Reason
Needham initiated coverage of Amprius Technologies with a Buy rating and $20 price target. The firm believes the "global, multi-year" unmanned aerial systems "supercycle" is in the "early innings." Amprius "stands out" as a key pure-play unmanned aerial systems battery supplier, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Needham says the company is "supercharging this cycle" by offering the "holy grail" in silicon-anode batteries that enable drones to fly farther and stay airborne longer.
Northland
Outperform
maintain
$20
2026-01-08
Reason
Northland
Price Target
$20
2026-01-08
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Northland is maintaining an Outperform rating and $20 price target on Amprius Technologies while naming it the analyst's top investment idea for FY26. The company is well positioned to benefit from the secular growth in drones and management is positioning Amprius to capture meaningful market share, the analyst tells investors.
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