AMPL Valuation

Amplitude Inc

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11.549

-0.121(-1.037%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AMPL Relative Valuation

AMPL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AMPL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Amplitude Inc (AMPL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 4.25 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 62.17. The fair price of Amplitude Inc (AMPL) is between 2.53 to 34.05 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

2.53-34.05

Current Price：11.67

Fair

127.97

Trailing

Forward

104.57

EV/EBITDA

Amplitude Inc. (AMPL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 104.57. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 285.51. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1229.44, Undervalued between -1229.44 and -471.96, Fairly Valued between 1042.99 and -471.96, Overvalued between 1042.99 and 1800.46, and Strongly Overvalued above 1800.46. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 104.57 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

246.35

EV/EBIT

Amplitude Inc. (AMPL) has a current EV/EBIT of 246.35. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 365.60. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -4459.65, Undervalued between -4459.65 and -2047.03, Fairly Valued between 2778.23 and -2047.03, Overvalued between 2778.23 and 5190.85, and Strongly Overvalued above 5190.85. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 246.35 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

4.25

Amplitude Inc. (AMPL) has a current PS of 4.25. The 5-year average PS is 7.35. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -6.99, Undervalued between -6.99 and 0.18, Fairly Valued between 14.52 and 0.18, Overvalued between 14.52 and 21.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.69. The current Forward PS of 4.25 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

39.75

P/OCF

Amplitude Inc. (AMPL) has a current P/OCF of 39.75. The 5-year average P/OCF is -3.72. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -220.22, Undervalued between -220.22 and -111.97, Fairly Valued between 104.53 and -111.97, Overvalued between 104.53 and 212.79, and Strongly Overvalued above 212.79. The current Forward P/OCF of 39.75 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

68.31

P/FCF

Amplitude Inc. (AMPL) has a current P/FCF of 68.31. The 5-year average P/FCF is -1.84. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -229.49, Undervalued between -229.49 and -115.67, Fairly Valued between 111.98 and -115.67, Overvalued between 111.98 and 225.81, and Strongly Overvalued above 225.81. The current Forward P/FCF of 68.31 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Amplitude Inc (AMPL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 5.56. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 4.72 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 17.62% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 6.37, the current P/B ratio is about -12.80% higher. Amplitude Inc (AMPL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 1.29%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 0.73%, the current FCF yield is approximately 76.04% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 0.27% , the current FCF yield is about 378.49% lower.

5.56

P/B

Median3y

4.72

Median5y

6.37

1.29

FCF Yield

Median3y

0.73

Median5y

0.27

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AMPL's competitors is 3.39, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Amplitude Inc Corp (AMPL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 4.25, which is 25.35% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 13.60%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Integral Ad Science Holding Corp

Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AMPL increased by 32.46% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -12.38 to -15.61.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 13.60%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AMPL in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

13.60%

73.30M → 83.27M

Revenue Growth

-7.26%

-31.94 → -29.62

Margin Expansion

26.12%

-12.38 → -15.61

P/E Change

32.46%