Should I Buy Ambac Financial Group Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AMBC has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
AMBC stock price ended at $7.99 on Monday, after losing -0.62%
The Ambac Financial Group Inc stock price decreased by -0.62% on the last trading day (19 May 2025), dropping from 7.82 to 7.99. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.38% , ranging from a day low of $7.77 to a day high of 8.11. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -0.25% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -679.47K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 813.89K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 6.51M.
AMBC Technical Signals
AMBC(Ambac Financial Group Inc Corp) has 0 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-12. The total price change during this trend is -4.31%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of AMBC over the last 5 trading days is 15.98M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
AMBC Moving Average Analysis
Ambac Financial Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, May 20, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $9.055953333333333, and $10.045333333333332. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $5.854713333333333, and $4.865333333333333. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
AMBC Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Ambac Financial Group Inc(AMBC) as of 12 May 2025 is 5.84%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 8.21 to 8.35. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
0
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
0 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
No Data
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.229
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.02
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.0591
Bearish
AMBC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Ambac Financial Group Inc(AMBC), our algorithm predicts AMBC's 1-month price at $11.39, with an 41.7%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.97%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Ambac Financial Group Inc (AMBC.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 41.7% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CABA.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.97%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
AMBC
No Data
CABA
Up: 41.7%Similarity: 94.97%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
CABA.O
94.97%
+41.70%
ENTA.O
93.80%
-12.12%
AZO.N
93.35%
+8.25%
CSWC.O
93.23%
-0.19%
SJ.O
92.93%
-26.17%
GCTK.O
92.75%
-7.30%
ELPW.O
92.75%
+0.19%
OPEN.O
92.59%
-37.19%
CALM.O
92.50%
-3.76%
ECDA.O
92.46%
-14.63%
AMBC Seasonality Analysis
Based on AMBC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AMBC. In contrast,Octoberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Ambac Financial Group Inc (AMBC.N) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while January has the lowest probability (18.18%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Ambac Financial Group Inc. (AMBC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
People Also Watch
FAQ
Should I buy Ambac Financial Group Inc (AMBC.N) stock?
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Ambac Financial Group Inc (AMBC.N) stock in a year?
How has Ambac Financial Group Inc. (AMBC)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
Which bull technical signals does AMBC have?
Which bearish technical signals does AMBC have?
Is AMBC a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of Ambac Financial Group Inc (AMBC)'s moving average?
What is price prediction for AMBC stock next month?
What is price prediction 2025 for AMBC Stock?