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ALUR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Allurion Technologies Inc (ALUR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
0.680
1 Day change
-5.96%
52 Week Range
4.180
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Allurion Technologies Inc (ALUR) is not a good buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The stock is showing bearish technical indicators, weak financial performance, and lacks strong positive catalysts despite the recent FDA approval. The company's financials indicate significant declines in revenue, net income, and EPS, which are critical for long-term investment. While the FDA approval is a positive development, it does not outweigh the current financial and technical weaknesses.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for ALUR are bearish. The MACD is negatively expanding below zero, the RSI is neutral at 30.657, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level of 0.723, but there is no clear signal for a reversal or upward momentum.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • The FDA approval for Allurion's gastric balloon system is a positive development, potentially expanding the company's market opportunities. Additionally, an analyst upgrade with a $3 price target reflects optimism about the company's future prospects.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financial performance in Q3 2025 is significantly weak, with revenue down 50.48% YoY, net income down 236.03% YoY, and EPS down 145.00% YoY. Gross margin also declined by 15.37%. Technical indicators are bearish, and there is no recent congress trading data or significant insider/hedge fund activity to support a buy decision.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, Allurion Technologies reported a revenue decline of 50.48% YoY to $2,658,000. Net income dropped by 236.03% YoY to -$11,884,000, and EPS fell by 145.00% YoY to -1.53. Gross margin also declined to 49.06%, down 15.37% YoY. These figures indicate significant financial struggles.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Chardan analyst Keay Nakae upgraded the stock to Buy from Neutral with a $3 price target, citing the FDA approval for the gastric balloon system as a significant positive development. However, this optimism is not yet reflected in the stock's performance or financials.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALUR stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALUR stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 0.671
sliders
Low
6
Averages
6
High
6
Current: 0.671
sliders
Low
6
Averages
6
High
6
Chardan
Keay Nakae
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$3
AI Analysis
2026-02-24
Reason
Chardan
Keay Nakae
Price Target
$3
AI Analysis
2026-02-24
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
Chardan analyst Keay Nakae upgraded Allurion Technologies to Buy from Neutral with a $3 price target. The company obtained FDA approval for its gastric balloon system, featuring the Allurion Smart Capsule, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the FDA approval "significantly increases the options" available to management going forward to support execution of its business plan.
Chardan Capital
Keay Nakae
Hold
Maintains
$2.5
2025-03-27
Reason
Chardan Capital
Keay Nakae
Price Target
$2.5
2025-03-27
Maintains
Hold
Reason
Chardan notes that Allurion has announced additional data evaluating the use of its Allurion Balloon in combination with patients be treated with GLP1 therapy, which the analyst calls "intriguing," especially the increase in lean body mass. However, the firm believes a more rigorous randomized controlled study will be needed to further validate this finding. Chardan has a Neutral rating and $2.50 price target on Allurion shares.
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