ALTO Valuation

Alto Ingredients Inc

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1.050

-0.01(-0.943%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ALTO Relative Valuation

ALTO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ALTO is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.09 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 14.74. The fair price of Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO) is between 7.03 to 9.15 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 1.05 USD , Alto Ingredients Inc is Undervalued By 85.07%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

7.03-9.15

Current Price：1.05

85.07%

Undervalued

-3.66

Trailing

Forward

12.09

EV/EBITDA

Alto Ingredients Inc. (ALTO) has a current EV/EBITDA of 12.09. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.44. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.42, Undervalued between -2.42 and 3.51, Fairly Valued between 15.37 and 3.51, Overvalued between 15.37 and 21.30, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.30. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 12.09 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-22.24

EV/EBIT

Alto Ingredients Inc. (ALTO) has a current EV/EBIT of -22.24. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 14.99. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -90.01, Undervalued between -90.01 and -37.51, Fairly Valued between 67.50 and -37.51, Overvalued between 67.50 and 120.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 120.00. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -22.24 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.09

Alto Ingredients Inc. (ALTO) has a current PS of 0.09. The 5-year average PS is 0.23. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.11, Fairly Valued between 0.34 and 0.11, Overvalued between 0.34 and 0.45, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.45. The current Forward PS of 0.09 falls within the Undervalued range.

19.53

P/OCF

Alto Ingredients Inc. (ALTO) has a current P/OCF of 19.53. The 5-year average P/OCF is 30.84. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -151.91, Undervalued between -151.91 and -60.53, Fairly Valued between 122.22 and -60.53, Overvalued between 122.22 and 213.60, and Strongly Overvalued above 213.60. The current Forward P/OCF of 19.53 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-12.06

P/FCF

Alto Ingredients Inc. (ALTO) has a current P/FCF of -12.06. The 5-year average P/FCF is -4.50. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -59.70, Undervalued between -59.70 and -32.10, Fairly Valued between 23.10 and -32.10, Overvalued between 23.10 and 50.70, and Strongly Overvalued above 50.70. The current Forward P/FCF of -12.06 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.39. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.59 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -33.83% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.89, the current P/B ratio is about -55.99% higher. Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -15.95%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -10.79%, the current FCF yield is approximately 47.83% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -3.72% , the current FCF yield is about 329.29% lower.

0.39

P/B

Median3y

0.59

Median5y

0.89

-15.95

FCF Yield

Median3y

-10.79

Median5y

-3.72

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ALTO's competitors is 2.21, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Alto Ingredients Inc Corp (ALTO) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.09, which is -95.95% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -7.63%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ALTO decreased by 23.91% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -1.31 to -5.03.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -7.63%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ALTO in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-7.63%

236.47M → 218.44M

Revenue Growth

283.97%

-1.31 → -5.03

Margin Expansion

-300.25%

0.58 → -1.15

P/E Change

-23.91%