Should You Buy Allegion PLC (ALLE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
ALLE is NOT a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to deploy capital immediately. The chart is bullish but stretched (RSI near overbought and price near resistance), while external positioning is a headwind (hedge funds sharply selling and Congress net selling). With no proprietary buy signal today and analysts staying cautious (Equal Weight) with lowered price targets, the risk/reward for buying at $166.89 pre-market is not attractive today. Best fit right now: HOLD / avoid initiating a new position at this level.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bullish trend remains intact with moving averages stacked positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating sustained upward momentum.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.622) but contracting, suggesting upside momentum is still positive but weakening (often happens as a move gets extended).
RSI: RSI_6 at 69.08 is near overbought territory, implying limited immediate upside and higher odds of a near-term pullback or consolidation.
Key levels: Pivot 164.54 is the first important area to hold. Immediate resistance is R1 167.90 (current pre-market 166.89 is close), then R2 169.98. Supports: S1 161.18 and S2 159.10.
Pattern-based short-horizon odds: Similar-pattern projection indicates mild weakness near term (-0.31% next day, -1.26% next week) but still constructive over a month (+5.13%). Net: technically strong long-term trend, but entry is late/extended short term.