Should I Buy AIV? AIV 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Apartment Investment and Management Co (AIV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

5.860

1 Day change

0.34%

52 Week Range

9.290

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

AIV is NOT a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor who doesn’t want to wait for an optimal entry. The stock is in a clear downtrend (bearish moving averages + weakening MACD), options positioning is heavily skewed bearish (high put open interest), and the latest 2025/Q3 financial snapshot shows weakening fundamentals. Despite a bullish analyst upgrade and a $10 target, the current setup favors avoiding a new entry today. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Pre-market price is 5.85, trading just below/near the pivot (5.893) and sitting on first support (S1=5.84). Trend is bearish: SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 confirms a sustained downtrend. Momentum is weakening with MACD histogram at -0.0136 and negatively expanding. RSI(6) at 37.5 is weak (near oversold but not showing a clear reversal). Near-term levels: support 5.84 then 5.806; resistance 5.946 then 5.98. Overall: bearish trend, fragile support, no confirmed reversal signal.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Open interest is put-heavy (put OI 16,886 vs call OI 4,109; OI put/call=4.11), which leans bearish/defensive. Reported daily option volume is essentially zero, so the sentiment read is dominated by existing positioning rather than fresh trading today. IV is elevated (30D IV ~54% vs historical volatility ~104%), with IV percentile ~60.8—pricing implies notable uncertainty/risk relative to many periods.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Wolfe Research upgraded AIV to Outperform with a $10 price target (implies meaningful upside from ~5.85 if the thesis plays out). Pattern-based projection provided suggests a modest positive bias over the next month (+4.58%). Next earnings date is scheduled for 2026-02-09 (after hours), which can act as a catalyst if results/updates are better than expected.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Strong technical downtrend (bearish MA stack) with negative MACD momentum—no reversal signal. Options positioning is heavily put-skewed (bearish/hedged). No supportive news flow in the last week to explain a near-term turnaround. Latest quarter snapshot shows deteriorating YoY metrics (especially EPS/net income and margin), which undermines long-term confidence at this moment.

Financial Performance

Latest reported snapshot: 2025/Q3. Revenue fell slightly to 35.13M (-0.55% YoY). Net income dropped to 286.71M (-1407.04% YoY) and EPS fell to 2.06 (-1387.50% YoY). Gross margin fell to 5.74 (-154.72% YoY). Overall: the snapshot indicates worsening YoY profitability and margin trend in the latest quarter, which is not supportive for a confident long-term entry right now.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst action: On 2025-11-03, Wolfe Research upgraded Aimco (AIV) to Outperform from Peer Perform and set a $10 price target. Wall Street pro view (from provided data): the clear pro is a bullish upgrade/target suggesting undervaluation/upside; the cons are that current trend/fundamentals are weak and there are no other supportive rating changes shown here to reinforce the bull case.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AIV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AIV is 10 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 5.840

Low

Averages

High

Current: 5.840

Low

Averages

High

Wolfe Research

Peer Perform

Outperform

upgrade

$10

AI Analysis

2025-11-03

Reason

Wolfe Research

Price Target

$10

AI Analysis

2025-11-03

upgrade

Peer Perform

Outperform

Reason

Wolfe Research upgraded Aimco to Outperform from Peer Perform with a $10 price target.

Wolfe Research

Peer Perform

Outperform

upgrade

$10

2025-08-04

Reason

Wolfe Research

Price Target

$10

2025-08-04

upgrade

Peer Perform

Outperform

Reason

Wolfe Research upgraded Aimco to Outperform from Peer Perform with a $10 price target, implying a year-end total return of 19%. The firm sees an attractive entry point at current shared levels with Aimco's asset sale catalysts nearing. The company currently has $852M book value of land, construction in progress, and development properties in lease-up, or about 67% of today's equity value, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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AIV Should I Buy

AIV Should I Buy

Should You Buy Apartment Investment and Management Co (AIV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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