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AIR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy AAR Corp (AIR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
108.320
1 Day change
0.02%
52 Week Range
121.640
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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AAR Corp. (AIR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available. While the company has shown revenue growth, its recent financial performance, including a significant drop in net income and EPS, along with a sharp price decline, suggests caution. The absence of strong trading signals and mixed analyst sentiment further supports a hold recommendation.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators present a mixed picture. The MACD is negative and expanding downward, signaling bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 30.936, not indicating oversold conditions yet. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the stock is trading near its key support level (S1: 110.945), suggesting limited upside in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low Put-Call Open Interest Ratio indicates bullish sentiment, but the high Option Volume Put-Call Ratio suggests bearish short-term trading activity.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts like Jefferies and Truist have raised price targets and maintain Buy ratings, citing strong industry fundamentals and organic growth.

  • Revenue increased by 15.92% YoY in Q2

  • Gross margin improved to 19.73%, up 5.28% YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Net income dropped significantly by -213.07% YoY, and EPS fell by -204.60% YoY in Q2

  • Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a Neutral rating, citing below-average growth and profitability compared to peers.

  • The stock experienced a sharp -6.66% decline in regular market trading and is trading near support levels, indicating weak momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q2 2026, AAR Corp. reported a revenue increase of 15.92% YoY to $795.3M. However, net income dropped drastically by -213.07% YoY to $34.6M, and EPS fell by -204.60% YoY to 0.91. Gross margin improved to 19.73%, up 5.28% YoY, but the overall financial performance indicates challenges in profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed. Jefferies raised its price target to $135 and maintains a Buy rating, while Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a Neutral rating and a $121 price target, citing concerns about growth and profitability. Truist and RBC Capital also raised price targets and maintain Buy/Outperform ratings, citing strong industry fundamentals and organic growth.

Wall Street analysts forecast AIR stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AIR stock price to fall
5 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 108.300
sliders
Low
99
Averages
106.8
High
121
Current: 108.300
sliders
Low
99
Averages
106.8
High
121
Truist
Buy
maintain
$107 -> $128
AI Analysis
2026-03-06
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$107 -> $128
AI Analysis
2026-03-06
maintain
Buy
Reason
Truist raised the firm's price target on AAR Corp. to $128 from $107 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's recent margin expansion, coupled with strategic repositioning, is recognized in the stock performance but still not accurately reflected in valuation, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Jefferies
Sheila Kahyaoglu
maintain
$112 -> $135
2026-02-23
Reason
Jefferies
Sheila Kahyaoglu
Price Target
$112 -> $135
2026-02-23
maintain
Reason
Jefferies analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu raised the firm's price target on AAR Corp. to $135 from $112 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after having met with Chair, President and CEO John Holmes at AAR's Airframe MRO facility in Miami.
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