AHH Valuation

Armada Hoffler Properties Inc

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6.910

-0.19(-2.676%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AHH Relative Valuation

AHH's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AHH is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Armada Hoffler Properties Inc (AHH) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 35.64 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 42.46. The fair price of Armada Hoffler Properties Inc (AHH) is between 5.48 to 9.98 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

5.48-9.98

Current Price：7.08

Fair

41.76

Trailing

Forward

53.62

EV/EBITDA

Armada Hoffler Properties Inc. (AHH) has a current EV/EBITDA of 53.62. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 46.69. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -327.80, Undervalued between -327.80 and -140.56, Fairly Valued between 233.94 and -140.56, Overvalued between 233.94 and 421.19, and Strongly Overvalued above 421.19. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 53.62 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-9.54

EV/EBIT

Armada Hoffler Properties Inc. (AHH) has a current EV/EBIT of -9.54. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 30.71. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 8.50, Undervalued between 8.50 and 19.61, Fairly Valued between 41.81 and 19.61, Overvalued between 41.81 and 52.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 52.91. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -9.54 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

2.15

Armada Hoffler Properties Inc. (AHH) has a current PS of 2.15. The 5-year average PS is 3.47. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.22, Undervalued between 2.22 and 2.85, Fairly Valued between 4.10 and 2.85, Overvalued between 4.10 and 4.73, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.73. The current Forward PS of 2.15 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Armada Hoffler Properties Inc. (AHH) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Armada Hoffler Properties Inc. (AHH) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

Armada Hoffler Properties Inc (AHH) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.68 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -31.87% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.85, the current P/B ratio is about -38.00% higher. Armada Hoffler Properties Inc (AHH) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 11.63%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 13.71%, the current FCF yield is approximately -15.15% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 12.97% , the current FCF yield is about -10.33% lower.

1.17

P/B

Median3y

1.68

Median5y

1.85

11.78

FCF Yield

Median3y

13.71

Median5y

12.97

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AHH's competitors is 1.91, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Armada Hoffler Properties Inc Corp (AHH) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.15, which is 12.19% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -40.75%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

AHH.N

Armada Hoffler Properties Inc

Plymouth Industrial REIT Inc

Summit Hotel Properties Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AHH decreased by 38.54% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 30.21 to 73.59.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -40.75%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AHH in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-40.75%

193.48M → 114.64M

Revenue Growth

-141.38%

9.16 → -3.79

Margin Expansion

143.59%

30.21 → 73.59

P/E Change

-38.54%