AGX Valuation

Argan Inc

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228.080

-10.94(-4.577%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AGX Relative Valuation

AGX's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AGX is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Argan Inc (AGX) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 32.65 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 18.31. The fair price of Argan Inc (AGX) is between 113.84 to 185.73 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 228.08 USD , Argan Inc is Overvalued By 22.8%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

113.84-185.73

Current Price：228.08

22.8%

Overvalued

32.65

Trailing

Forward

19.35

EV/EBITDA

Argan Inc. (AGX) has a current EV/EBITDA of 19.35. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 6.24. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.10, Undervalued between -3.10 and 1.57, Fairly Valued between 10.91 and 1.57, Overvalued between 10.91 and 15.58, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.58. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 19.35 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

24.01

EV/EBIT

Argan Inc. (AGX) has a current EV/EBIT of 24.01. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 7.81. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -4.14, Undervalued between -4.14 and 1.83, Fairly Valued between 13.78 and 1.83, Overvalued between 13.78 and 19.76, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.76. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 24.01 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

3.14

Argan Inc. (AGX) has a current PS of 3.14. The 5-year average PS is 1.31. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.20, Undervalued between 0.20 and 0.76, Fairly Valued between 1.86 and 0.76, Overvalued between 1.86 and 2.41, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.41. The current Forward PS of 3.14 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

27.41

P/OCF

Argan Inc. (AGX) has a current P/OCF of 27.41. The 5-year average P/OCF is 18.18. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -6.46, Undervalued between -6.46 and 5.86, Fairly Valued between 30.51 and 5.86, Overvalued between 30.51 and 42.83, and Strongly Overvalued above 42.83. The current Forward P/OCF of 27.41 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

28.39

P/FCF

Argan Inc. (AGX) has a current P/FCF of 28.39. The 5-year average P/FCF is 19.71. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -7.77, Undervalued between -7.77 and 5.97, Fairly Valued between 33.46 and 5.97, Overvalued between 33.46 and 47.20, and Strongly Overvalued above 47.20. The current Forward P/FCF of 28.39 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Argan Inc (AGX) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 8.59. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 3.43 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 150.81% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.88, the current P/B ratio is about 198.66% higher. Argan Inc (AGX) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 5.48%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 5.14%, the current FCF yield is approximately 6.59% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 9.10% , the current FCF yield is about -39.86% lower.

8.59

P/B

Median3y

3.43

Median5y

2.88

5.48

FCF Yield

Median3y

5.14

Median5y

9.10

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AGX's competitors is 2.49, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Argan Inc Corp (AGX) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.14, which is 25.91% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 22.82%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Everus Construction Group Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AGX increased by 188.44% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 5.00 to 11.64.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed 32.82%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AGX in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

22.82%

157.68M → 193.66M

Revenue Growth

132.80%

5.00 → 11.64

Margin Expansion

32.82%

24.18 → 32.11

P/E Change

188.44%