AGX Relative Valuation
AGX's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AGX is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Argan Inc (AGX) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 32.09 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 18.27. The fair price of Argan Inc (AGX) is between 117.62 to 190.94 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 231.00 USD , Argan Inc is Overvalued By 20.98%.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
117.62-190.94
Current Price：231.00
20.98%
Overvalued
32.09
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
18.01
EV/EBITDA
Argan Inc. (AGX) has a current EV/EBITDA of 18.01. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 6.18. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.00, Undervalued between -3.00 and 1.59, Fairly Valued between 10.77 and 1.59, Overvalued between 10.77 and 15.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.36. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 18.01 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.
22.35
EV/EBIT
Argan Inc. (AGX) has a current EV/EBIT of 22.35. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 7.74. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -4.02, Undervalued between -4.02 and 1.86, Fairly Valued between 13.62 and 1.86, Overvalued between 13.62 and 19.50, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.50. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 22.35 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.
2.96
PS
Argan Inc. (AGX) has a current PS of 2.96. The 5-year average PS is 1.30. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.22, Undervalued between 0.22 and 0.76, Fairly Valued between 1.84 and 0.76, Overvalued between 1.84 and 2.38, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.38. The current Forward PS of 2.96 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.
25.84
P/OCF
Argan Inc. (AGX) has a current P/OCF of 25.84. The 5-year average P/OCF is 18.15. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -6.48, Undervalued between -6.48 and 5.83, Fairly Valued between 30.46 and 5.83, Overvalued between 30.46 and 42.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 42.78. The current Forward P/OCF of 25.84 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
26.76
P/FCF
Argan Inc. (AGX) has a current P/FCF of 26.76. The 5-year average P/FCF is 19.68. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -7.79, Undervalued between -7.79 and 5.95, Fairly Valued between 33.42 and 5.95, Overvalued between 33.42 and 47.15, and Strongly Overvalued above 47.15. The current Forward P/FCF of 26.76 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Argan Inc (AGX) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 8.44. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 3.37 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 150.38% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.85, the current P/B ratio is about 196.68% higher. Argan Inc (AGX) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 5.81%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 5.00%, the current FCF yield is approximately 16.23% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 9.20% , the current FCF yield is about -36.87% lower.
8.44
P/B
Median3y
3.37
Median5y
2.85
5.81
FCF Yield
Median3y
5.00
Median5y
9.20
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for AGX's competitors is 2.43, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Argan Inc Corp (AGX) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.96, which is 21.89% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 22.82%, this premium appears sustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of AGX increased by 184.89% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 5.00 to 11.64.
The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed 29.27%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of AGX in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.
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