Should You Buy American Financial Group Inc (AFG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
AFG is NOT a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor who wants to deploy capital immediately. The stock is technically near-term oversold and options positioning looks bullish, but the strongest actionable datapoint is the sharp increase in insider selling (+101% last month) combined with a Neutral Street stance—this setup is more consistent with a short-term bounce trade than a clean long-term entry to buy aggressively today.
Technical Analysis
Price (pre-market 127.85) is trading below the pivot (130.04) and just above first support (S1 126.99), suggesting the stock is sitting in a fragile zone where a bounce is possible but downside risk to S2 (125.10) is nearby. Momentum is still bearish: MACD histogram is negative (-0.46), though it is contracting (selling pressure is easing). RSI_6 at ~25 is oversold (despite the data label), which often precedes short-term mean reversion bounces. Moving averages are converging, implying the trend is not strongly directional and could be in a transition phase. Overall: technically “bounce-capable” but not yet a confirmed uptrend for long-term accumulation.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent Street action: Piper Sandler (2025-11-06) raised its price target to $139 from $130 and maintained a Neutral rating, citing crop premium timing and otherwise flat net written premiums ex-crop. Wall Street pros: improving earnings power (EPS growth) and a higher target. Cons: Neutral rating suggests limited conviction, and commentary implies premium growth is not robust. Influential buyers/sellers: no recent Congress trading data; hedge funds are Neutral; insiders are actively selling (negative).
Wall Street analysts forecast AFG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AFG is 137.5 USD with a low forecast of 136 USD and a high forecast of 139 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast AFG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AFG is 137.5 USD with a low forecast of 136 USD and a high forecast of 139 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 128.810
Current: 128.810
