AFG Should I Buy
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American Financial Group Inc (AFG) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company shows positive financial performance in net income and EPS growth, the lack of strong technical buy signals, insider selling trends, and limited upside potential as per analyst ratings suggest holding off on immediate investment.
The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating a bullish trend. RSI is neutral at 55.853, and moving averages are converging, suggesting no clear directional signal. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 129.533, with resistance at 132.043 and support at 127.024.
Net income increased by 17.25% YoY, and EPS grew by 18.48% YoY in Q4 2025, indicating strong profitability.
Insiders are selling, with a 101.46% increase in selling activity over the last month. Analysts have lowered the price target to $134, citing constrained reserve releases and conservative casualty loss picks. No recent news or event-driven catalysts. Hedge funds are neutral, and no significant trading trends are observed.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by -2.96% YoY to $2.063 billion, but net income increased to $299 million (+17.25% YoY), and EPS rose to 3.59 (+18.48% YoY).
Keefe Bruyette lowered the price target from $136 to $134 and maintained a Market Perform rating, citing limited upside potential in the near term.
