AESI Valuation

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc

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11.270

+0.02(0.178%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AESI Relative Valuation

AESI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AESI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc (AESI) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 42.34 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 12.18. The fair price of Atlas Energy Solutions Inc (AESI) is between 2.46 to 5.26 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 11.27 USD , Atlas Energy Solutions Inc is Overvalued By 114.34%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

2.46-5.26

Current Price：11.27

114.34%

Overvalued

42.34

Trailing

Forward

6.58

EV/EBITDA

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) has a current EV/EBITDA of 6.58. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 6.43. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.35, Undervalued between 3.35 and 4.89, Fairly Valued between 7.98 and 4.89, Overvalued between 7.98 and 9.52, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.52. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 6.58 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

18.84

EV/EBIT

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) has a current EV/EBIT of 18.84. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 10.02. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.91, Undervalued between 1.91 and 5.96, Fairly Valued between 14.08 and 5.96, Overvalued between 14.08 and 18.13, and Strongly Overvalued above 18.13. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 18.84 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

1.23

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) has a current PS of 1.23. The 5-year average PS is 1.83. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.02, Undervalued between 1.02 and 1.42, Fairly Valued between 2.23 and 1.42, Overvalued between 2.23 and 2.63, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.63. The current Forward PS of 1.23 falls within the Undervalued range.

5.72

P/OCF

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) has a current P/OCF of 5.72. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.14. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.44, Undervalued between 2.44 and 4.29, Fairly Valued between 7.99 and 4.29, Overvalued between 7.99 and 9.84, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.84. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.72 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.42

P/FCF

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) has a current P/FCF of 6.42. The 5-year average P/FCF is 11.68. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -27.54, Undervalued between -27.54 and -7.93, Fairly Valued between 31.29 and -7.93, Overvalued between 31.29 and 50.90, and Strongly Overvalued above 50.90. The current Forward P/FCF of 6.42 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc (AESI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 3.69 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -70.31% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 3.69, the current P/B ratio is about -70.31% higher. Atlas Energy Solutions Inc (AESI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -1.30%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -2.10%, the current FCF yield is approximately -37.96% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -2.10% , the current FCF yield is about -37.96% lower.

1.09

P/B

Median3y

3.69

Median5y

3.69

-1.30

FCF Yield

Median3y

-2.10

Median5y

-2.10

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AESI's competitors is 0.78, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Atlas Energy Solutions Inc Corp (AESI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.23, which is 58.07% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 0.40%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

AESI.N

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc

Innovex Downhole Solutions Inc

Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc

0.65

-17.14%

840.76M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AESI decreased by 45.43% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 50.83 to 97.37.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 0.40%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AESI in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

0.40%

287.52M → 288.68M

Revenue Growth

-137.40%

5.16 → -1.93

Margin Expansion

91.57%

50.83 → 97.37

P/E Change

-45.43%