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AES Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of AES Corp(AES) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of AES Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-04After Hours0.780.75-3.853.22B3.35B+3.93+5.80+5.73
FY2024Q42025-02-28Pre-Market0.340.54+58.823.07B2.96B-3.54+11.66+4.72
FY2024Q32024-10-31After Hours0.600.71+18.333.46B3.29B-4.98-9.85-16.34
FY2024Q22024-08-01-0.360.38+5.563.19B2.94B-7.65+1.66-6.96
FY2024Q12024-05-02-0.320.50+56.253.20B3.09B-3.51+4.18+6.60
FY2023Q42024-02-26-0.690.73+5.803.36B2.97B-11.58-2.81-3.31
FY2023Q32023-11-02-0.550.60+9.093.57B3.43B-3.77+4.38+9.23
FY2023Q22023-08-03-0.250.21-16.003.08B3.03B-1.58-1.85-6.80
-2023-05-04-0.240.22-8.33---+0.13+0.85
-2023-02-27-0.460.49+6.52----1.74-0.87
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AI Stock Picker

AES Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, AES Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-04. The company achieved an EPS of 0.75, compared to analyst estimates of 0.78 by -3.85% . Revenue for the quarter reached 3.35B compared to expectations of 3.22B by 3.93% .
The stock price reacted with a 5.80% one-day change and a 5.73% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in AES Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

AES Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, AES Corp(AES) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 3.06B and an EPS of 0.62.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 1.87%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 0.03%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 1.8% . These revisions correlate with a 7.73% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in AES Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between AES's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+1.87%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+0.03%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.8%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+7.73%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:12.25B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.15
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Stock Price13.93
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Financial AI Agent

AES Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

AES Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-04,After Hours):
EPS: 0.75 (Actual) vs.0.78 (Estimate) (-3.85%)
Revenue: 3.35B (Actual) vs. 3.22B (Estimate) (3.93%)
Price Reaction: 5.80%(1-Day), 5.73%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-02-28,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.54 (Actual) vs.0.34 (Estimate) (58.82%)
Revenue: 2.96B (Actual) vs. 3.07B (Estimate) (-3.54%)
Price Reaction: 11.66%(1-Day), 4.72%(5-Day)
FY2024Q3 (2024-10-31,After Hours):
EPS: 0.71 (Actual) vs.0.60 (Estimate) (18.33%)
Revenue: 3.29B (Actual) vs. 3.46B (Estimate) (-4.98%)
Price Reaction: -9.85%(1-Day), -16.34%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AES performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AES sees a +0.27% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.24% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.47%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 5.80% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 2.08% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

AES Corp (AES) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call summary reveals a strong focus on growth in renewables, data center demand, and utility investments, with a positive outlook for EBITDA and EPS growth. The Q&A highlights robust demand, strategic focus on profitable projects, and favorable PPA returns. Despite some challenges with Uplight, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and strategic initiatives, suggesting a positive stock price movement in the near term.
AES Corp (AES) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-01
The earnings call presents a positive outlook with strong financial performance, including a 56% increase in Renewables SBU Adjusted EBITDA and significant utility investments. The Q&A reveals management's confidence in future growth and strategic planning, such as safe harbor protections and strong demand for PPAs. Despite some evasive responses regarding strategic development, the overall sentiment is positive, bolstered by strong project pipelines and shareholder returns. The reaffirmed guidance and successful debt management further support a positive stock price reaction over the next two weeks.
AES Corp (AES) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-02
The earnings call presented mixed signals: while there were positive elements such as a 2% dividend increase, strong demand for renewables, and improved financial health with no new equity issuance needed, the company also reported a decline in adjusted EBITDA and EPS. The Q&A section did not significantly alter this view, as management avoided clear answers on some issues. The lack of market cap data limits the assessment, but overall, the mixed results and guidance suggest a neutral stock price movement in the near term.
AES Corp (AES) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-01
The earnings call highlighted strong EPS growth, significant cost savings, and a robust investment plan, supporting a positive outlook. The Q&A reinforced confidence in achieving cost reductions and highlighted strong demand for renewables. Despite some unclear responses, the reaffirmed guidance, increased dividends, and substantial renewables growth suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
AES Corp (AES) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-28
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive elements like increased dividends, strong EPS growth, and significant cost savings, there are also concerns about weather-related losses, increased debt, and competitive pressures. The Q&A section reveals management's confidence in cost reductions but highlights uncertainties in coal EBITDA and a cautious approach to renewables. These factors, along with stable dividends, suggest a neutral stock price reaction, with no strong catalysts for a significant move either way.
AES Corporation (AES) Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-01
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with increased EBITDA and EPS, significant new agreements, and strategic partnerships, notably with Google and AI Fund. The shareholder return plan and investment in renewables are also positive. The Q&A section reveals confidence in achieving targets and managing challenges. However, some uncertainties remain about future guidance and the Brazil impact. Overall, the sentiment is positive due to strong financial metrics, strategic growth initiatives, and shareholder returns, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
The AES Corporation (AES) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-02
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial performance, with increased adjusted EBITDA and EPS, a robust project pipeline, and significant shareholder returns. The reaffirmed guidance and increased dividend signal confidence in future growth. While some management responses were vague, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by strong renewable contracts and a solid capital allocation plan. The $500 million shareholder return and 4% dividend increase further boost investor sentiment. Despite some uncertainties, the company’s strategic focus on renewables and favorable financial metrics suggest a positive stock price movement.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of AES’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

AES reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 3.35B against an estimate of 3.22B, resulting in a 3.93% surprise. The EPS was 0.75, surpassing the expected 0.78 by -3.85% . The stock experienced a 5.8% price change on the earnings day and a 5.73% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did AES’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following AES’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by 5.80% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 5.73% change. Historically, AES’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +0.27% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.24% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AES for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate AES’s annual revenue to reach 3.06B, while the EPS is projected at 0.62. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 1.87% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 1.8% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does AES’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between AES’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 1.87%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 1.8% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from AES’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, AES’s stock price typically moves by +0.27% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.24% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.62 and revenue of 3.06B.
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What is the sentiment in AES Corp (AES) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary reveals a strong focus on growth in renewables, data center demand, and utility investments, with a positive outlook for EBITDA and EPS growth. The Q&A highlights robust demand, strategic focus on profitable projects, and favorable PPA returns. Despite some challenges with Uplight, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and strategic initiatives, suggesting a positive stock price movement in the near term.
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